Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Istanbul near 17–19°C on September 20 under persistent high pressure and light northeasterly flow, supporting the clustered market-implied probabilities around 16–19°C. Radiative cooling overnight will be modulated by variable cloud cover and dew-point levels near 14–16°C, while Black Sea surface temperatures near 22°C limit further cooling. Slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any thin high clouds creates the tight contest between adjacent bins, with traders weighting the latest ECMWF and GFS runs alongside historical September minima averaging 16–18°C. Updated official guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and refined evening soundings are the next key inputs likely to shift positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 20?
14°C or below 71%
24°C or higher 62%
16°C 40%
17°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
14°C or below
71%
15°C
19%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
30%
19°C
30%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
19%
23°C
18%
24°C or higher
62%
14°C or below 71%
24°C or higher 62%
16°C 40%
17°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Обс.
71%
15°C
$0 Обс.
19%
16°C
$0 Обс.
40%
17°C
$0 Обс.
40%
18°C
$8 Обс.
30%
19°C
$0 Обс.
30%
20°C
$0 Обс.
40%
21°C
$0 Обс.
40%
22°C
$0 Обс.
19%
23°C
$0 Обс.
18%
24°C or higher
$0 Обс.
62%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Istanbul near 17–19°C on September 20 under persistent high pressure and light northeasterly flow, supporting the clustered market-implied probabilities around 16–19°C. Radiative cooling overnight will be modulated by variable cloud cover and dew-point levels near 14–16°C, while Black Sea surface temperatures near 22°C limit further cooling. Slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any thin high clouds creates the tight contest between adjacent bins, with traders weighting the latest ECMWF and GFS runs alongside historical September minima averaging 16–18°C. Updated official guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and refined evening soundings are the next key inputs likely to shift positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$8Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Istanbul near 17–19°C on September 20 under persistent high pressure and light northeasterly flow, supporting the clustered market-implied probabilities around 16–19°C. Radiative cooling overnight will be modulated by variable cloud cover and dew-point levels near 14–16°C, while Black Sea surface temperatures near 22°C limit further cooling. Slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any thin high clouds creates the tight contest between adjacent bins, with traders weighting the latest ECMWF and GFS runs alongside historical September minima averaging 16–18°C. Updated official guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and refined evening soundings are the next key inputs likely to shift positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Istanbul near 17–19°C on September 20 under persistent high pressure and light northeasterly flow, supporting the clustered market-implied probabilities around 16–19°C. Radiative cooling overnight will be modulated by variable cloud cover and dew-point levels near 14–16°C, while Black Sea surface temperatures near 22°C limit further cooling. Slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any thin high clouds creates the tight contest between adjacent bins, with traders weighting the latest ECMWF and GFS runs alongside historical September minima averaging 16–18°C. Updated official guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and refined evening soundings are the next key inputs likely to shift positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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