Persistent high pressure and warm southeasterly flow sustain elevated temperatures across southern England, with Met Office and ECMWF consensus pointing to an 18–20°C overnight minimum for London on August 14 amid the ongoing heatwave. Clear skies and light winds restrict radiative cooling overnight, while unusually high regional sea-surface temperatures and a record-warm summer baseline limit deeper drops. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability (56.5%) to 22°C, with 21–23°C together capturing over 90% of market sentiment, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band between official guidance and the moderating effects of the current synoptic pattern.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 14?
Lowest temperature in London on August 14?
22°C 43%
21°C 26%
23°C 14%
20°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
26%
22°C
43%
23°C
14%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 43%
21°C 26%
23°C 14%
20°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
16°C or below
$586 Обс.
1%
17°C
$90 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$200 Обс.
1%
19°C
$98 Обс.
2%
20°C
$404 Обс.
5%
21°C
$705 Обс.
26%
22°C
$2,166 Обс.
43%
23°C
$485 Обс.
14%
24°C
$117 Обс.
2%
25°C
$131 Обс.
1%
26°C or higher
$316 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and warm southeasterly flow sustain elevated temperatures across southern England, with Met Office and ECMWF consensus pointing to an 18–20°C overnight minimum for London on August 14 amid the ongoing heatwave. Clear skies and light winds restrict radiative cooling overnight, while unusually high regional sea-surface temperatures and a record-warm summer baseline limit deeper drops. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability (56.5%) to 22°C, with 21–23°C together capturing over 90% of market sentiment, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band between official guidance and the moderating effects of the current synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,299Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and warm southeasterly flow sustain elevated temperatures across southern England, with Met Office and ECMWF consensus pointing to an 18–20°C overnight minimum for London on August 14 amid the ongoing heatwave. Clear skies and light winds restrict radiative cooling overnight, while unusually high regional sea-surface temperatures and a record-warm summer baseline limit deeper drops. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability (56.5%) to 22°C, with 21–23°C together capturing over 90% of market sentiment, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band between official guidance and the moderating effects of the current synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,299Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and warm southeasterly flow sustain elevated temperatures across southern England, with Met Office and ECMWF consensus pointing to an 18–20°C overnight minimum for London on August 14 amid the ongoing heatwave. Clear skies and light winds restrict radiative cooling overnight, while unusually high regional sea-surface temperatures and a record-warm summer baseline limit deeper drops. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability (56.5%) to 22°C, with 21–23°C together capturing over 90% of market sentiment, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band between official guidance and the moderating effects of the current synoptic pattern.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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