Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a heatwave peaking on June 18, with clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating sustaining elevated overnight minima near 19–20°C in Paris. This pattern, fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge and minimal cloud cover, reduces radiative cooling and positions 18°C and 19°C as the most probable daily low outcomes according to current consensus runs. Traders appear to weigh slight model spread and potential localized urban heat-island effects, keeping probabilities clustered around these values while discounting cooler scenarios below 17°C given the established warm anomaly. Updated model guidance expected overnight could further refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on June 18?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 18?
18°C 43%
19°C 30%
17°C 9%
20°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 18, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
9%
18°C
43%
19°C
30%
20°C
6%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 43%
19°C 30%
17°C 9%
20°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 18, 2026
13°C or below
$15 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$336 Обс.
1%
15°C
$253 Обс.
1%
16°C
$108 Обс.
1%
17°C
$20 Обс.
9%
18°C
$175 Обс.
43%
19°C
$216 Обс.
30%
20°C
$219 Обс.
6%
21°C
$113 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$110 Обс.
1%
23°C or higher
$550 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a heatwave peaking on June 18, with clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating sustaining elevated overnight minima near 19–20°C in Paris. This pattern, fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge and minimal cloud cover, reduces radiative cooling and positions 18°C and 19°C as the most probable daily low outcomes according to current consensus runs. Traders appear to weigh slight model spread and potential localized urban heat-island effects, keeping probabilities clustered around these values while discounting cooler scenarios below 17°C given the established warm anomaly. Updated model guidance expected overnight could further refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,114Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a heatwave peaking on June 18, with clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating sustaining elevated overnight minima near 19–20°C in Paris. This pattern, fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge and minimal cloud cover, reduces radiative cooling and positions 18°C and 19°C as the most probable daily low outcomes according to current consensus runs. Traders appear to weigh slight model spread and potential localized urban heat-island effects, keeping probabilities clustered around these values while discounting cooler scenarios below 17°C given the established warm anomaly. Updated model guidance expected overnight could further refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,114Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a heatwave peaking on June 18, with clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating sustaining elevated overnight minima near 19–20°C in Paris. This pattern, fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge and minimal cloud cover, reduces radiative cooling and positions 18°C and 19°C as the most probable daily low outcomes according to current consensus runs. Traders appear to weigh slight model spread and potential localized urban heat-island effects, keeping probabilities clustered around these values while discounting cooler scenarios below 17°C given the established warm anomaly. Updated model guidance expected overnight could further refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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