Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate minimum temperatures in Taipei around 26°C on August 24 amid persistent low-pressure influences and scattered showers that enhance cloud cover, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in the humid subtropical environment. These conditions align with the market's emphasis on 21°C or below as the leading outcome at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of potential for stronger-than-normal frontal influences or enhanced rainfall to dip below typical August baselines of 24–27°C. Recent regional rain patterns through the weekend have already moderated highs, supporting clustered probabilities near 26–27°C while keeping extremes above 29°C at low single-digit odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Taipei on August 24?
21°C or below 51%
22°C 42%
26°C 28%
27°C 28%
21°C or below
51%
22°C
42%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
28%
27°C
28%
28°C
25%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
11%
21°C or below 51%
22°C 42%
26°C 28%
27°C 28%
21°C or below
51%
22°C
42%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
28%
27°C
28%
28°C
25%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate minimum temperatures in Taipei around 26°C on August 24 amid persistent low-pressure influences and scattered showers that enhance cloud cover, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in the humid subtropical environment. These conditions align with the market's emphasis on 21°C or below as the leading outcome at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of potential for stronger-than-normal frontal influences or enhanced rainfall to dip below typical August baselines of 24–27°C. Recent regional rain patterns through the weekend have already moderated highs, supporting clustered probabilities near 26–27°C while keeping extremes above 29°C at low single-digit odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання