Recent official forecasts from sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Tel Aviv nighttime lows near 24–25°C on September 4 under clear skies and light westerly winds. Sea surface temperatures around 28°C and persistent subtropical high pressure limit radiative cooling, while typical September climatology shows average minima of 22–24°C. The near-even market-implied odds between 24°C and cooler outcomes reflect minor ensemble spread in the timing of peak nocturnal cooling and potential for subtle onshore flow variations, with updated model runs expected to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 4?
20°C or below 98%
25°C 96%
30°C or higher 96%
22°C 86%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
20°C or below
98%
21°C
85%
22°C
86%
23°C
81%
24°C
50%
25°C
96%
26°C
8%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
96%
20°C or below 98%
25°C 96%
30°C or higher 96%
22°C 86%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Обс.
98%
21°C
$0 Обс.
85%
22°C
$0 Обс.
86%
23°C
$0 Обс.
81%
24°C
$0 Обс.
50%
25°C
$0 Обс.
96%
26°C
$12 Обс.
8%
27°C
$12 Обс.
3%
28°C
$34 Обс.
3%
29°C
$0 Обс.
2%
30°C or higher
$0 Обс.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Tel Aviv nighttime lows near 24–25°C on September 4 under clear skies and light westerly winds. Sea surface temperatures around 28°C and persistent subtropical high pressure limit radiative cooling, while typical September climatology shows average minima of 22–24°C. The near-even market-implied odds between 24°C and cooler outcomes reflect minor ensemble spread in the timing of peak nocturnal cooling and potential for subtle onshore flow variations, with updated model runs expected to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$58Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Tel Aviv nighttime lows near 24–25°C on September 4 under clear skies and light westerly winds. Sea surface temperatures around 28°C and persistent subtropical high pressure limit radiative cooling, while typical September climatology shows average minima of 22–24°C. The near-even market-implied odds between 24°C and cooler outcomes reflect minor ensemble spread in the timing of peak nocturnal cooling and potential for subtle onshore flow variations, with updated model runs expected to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$58Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Tel Aviv nighttime lows near 24–25°C on September 4 under clear skies and light westerly winds. Sea surface temperatures around 28°C and persistent subtropical high pressure limit radiative cooling, while typical September climatology shows average minima of 22–24°C. The near-even market-implied odds between 24°C and cooler outcomes reflect minor ensemble spread in the timing of peak nocturnal cooling and potential for subtle onshore flow variations, with updated model runs expected to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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