**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou's September 13 minimum temperature centers on 18–19°C, with market-implied odds of 47% and 54% respectively, reflecting tight uncertainty in overnight cooling.** Recent forecasts from multiple models show daytime highs near 28–29°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with light winds and moderate humidity around 50–70%. These conditions limit strong radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low near the seasonal average for mid-September. The narrow spread between 18°C and 19°C stems from small differences in cloud cover persistence, boundary-layer mixing, and exact dew-point depression overnight. Official observations and model consensus indicate minimal advection or frontal influence, so the final minimum hinges on the precise timing of any clearing and local urban effects. Updated surface observations through the evening will likely resolve the close contest between these two outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 13?
19°C 99.5%
15°C or below 1.0%
16°C 1.0%
17°C 1.0%
$624 Обс.
$624 Обс.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
19°C 99.5%
15°C or below 1.0%
16°C 1.0%
17°C 1.0%
$624 Обс.
$624 Обс.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou's September 13 minimum temperature centers on 18–19°C, with market-implied odds of 47% and 54% respectively, reflecting tight uncertainty in overnight cooling.** Recent forecasts from multiple models show daytime highs near 28–29°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with light winds and moderate humidity around 50–70%. These conditions limit strong radiative cooling, keeping the overnight low near the seasonal average for mid-September. The narrow spread between 18°C and 19°C stems from small differences in cloud cover persistence, boundary-layer mixing, and exact dew-point depression overnight. Official observations and model consensus indicate minimal advection or frontal influence, so the final minimum hinges on the precise timing of any clearing and local urban effects. Updated surface observations through the evening will likely resolve the close contest between these two outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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