**Strong meteorological consensus from numerical weather prediction models underpins the near-certain market-implied odds for a 29°C high in Zhengzhou on September 16.** Multiple forecasts, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project an overcast day with southerly winds and limited solar heating, yielding a daytime maximum of 29–30°C after an overnight low near 18–20°C. This aligns with typical early-autumn patterns in the North China Plain, where seasonal cooling and cloud cover suppress peaks below late-summer averages. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing trader confidence. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing or stronger subsidence allowing brief warming above 30°C, though current observations and ensemble guidance indicate low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 16?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 16?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,884 Обс.
$6,884 Обс.
Sep 16, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,884 Обс.
$6,884 Обс.
Sep 16, 2026
22°C or below
$25 Обс.
No
23°C
$60 Обс.
No
24°C
$153 Обс.
No
25°C
$134 Обс.
No
26°C
$298 Обс.
No
27°C
$423 Обс.
No
28°C
$295 Обс.
No
29°C
$2,032 Обс.
Yes
30°C
$447 Обс.
No
31°C
$691 Обс.
No
32°C or higher
$2,326 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong meteorological consensus from numerical weather prediction models underpins the near-certain market-implied odds for a 29°C high in Zhengzhou on September 16.** Multiple forecasts, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project an overcast day with southerly winds and limited solar heating, yielding a daytime maximum of 29–30°C after an overnight low near 18–20°C. This aligns with typical early-autumn patterns in the North China Plain, where seasonal cooling and cloud cover suppress peaks below late-summer averages. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing trader confidence. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing or stronger subsidence allowing brief warming above 30°C, though current observations and ensemble guidance indicate low probability of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,884Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong meteorological consensus from numerical weather prediction models underpins the near-certain market-implied odds for a 29°C high in Zhengzhou on September 16.** Multiple forecasts, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project an overcast day with southerly winds and limited solar heating, yielding a daytime maximum of 29–30°C after an overnight low near 18–20°C. This aligns with typical early-autumn patterns in the North China Plain, where seasonal cooling and cloud cover suppress peaks below late-summer averages. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing trader confidence. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing or stronger subsidence allowing brief warming above 30°C, though current observations and ensemble guidance indicate low probability of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,884Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Strong meteorological consensus from numerical weather prediction models underpins the near-certain market-implied odds for a 29°C high in Zhengzhou on September 16.** Multiple forecasts, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, project an overcast day with southerly winds and limited solar heating, yielding a daytime maximum of 29–30°C after an overnight low near 18–20°C. This aligns with typical early-autumn patterns in the North China Plain, where seasonal cooling and cloud cover suppress peaks below late-summer averages. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing trader confidence. A realistic challenge would require unexpected afternoon clearing or stronger subsidence allowing brief warming above 30°C, though current observations and ensemble guidance indicate low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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