Incumbent Republican Rep. Tim Walberg, who filed for re-election on April 20 as the sole GOP primary candidate, commands trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability of a party win in solidly conservative MI-05 (Cook PVI R+13), buoyed by his 65.7% victory margin over Democrat Libbi Urban in 2024 and $950,000 cash-on-hand edge as of late March over presumptive Democratic nominee Christian Vukasovich's $9,500. All major forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the August 4 primary and November 3 general election. While entrenched incumbency and district lean drive the lopsided odds, a Walberg scandal, health issue, retirement announcement, or national Democratic wave could narrow the gap.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMI-05 House Election Winner
MI-05 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,654 Обс.
91%
Democratic Party
$801 Обс.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Tim Walberg, who filed for re-election on April 20 as the sole GOP primary candidate, commands trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability of a party win in solidly conservative MI-05 (Cook PVI R+13), buoyed by his 65.7% victory margin over Democrat Libbi Urban in 2024 and $950,000 cash-on-hand edge as of late March over presumptive Democratic nominee Christian Vukasovich's $9,500. All major forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the August 4 primary and November 3 general election. While entrenched incumbency and district lean drive the lopsided odds, a Walberg scandal, health issue, retirement announcement, or national Democratic wave could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,455Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Tim Walberg, who filed for re-election on April 20 as the sole GOP primary candidate, commands trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability of a party win in solidly conservative MI-05 (Cook PVI R+13), buoyed by his 65.7% victory margin over Democrat Libbi Urban in 2024 and $950,000 cash-on-hand edge as of late March over presumptive Democratic nominee Christian Vukasovich's $9,500. All major forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the August 4 primary and November 3 general election. While entrenched incumbency and district lean drive the lopsided odds, a Walberg scandal, health issue, retirement announcement, or national Democratic wave could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$3,455Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Tim Walberg, who filed for re-election on April 20 as the sole GOP primary candidate, commands trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability of a party win in solidly conservative MI-05 (Cook PVI R+13), buoyed by his 65.7% victory margin over Democrat Libbi Urban in 2024 and $950,000 cash-on-hand edge as of late March over presumptive Democratic nominee Christian Vukasovich's $9,500. All major forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the August 4 primary and November 3 general election. While entrenched incumbency and district lean drive the lopsided odds, a Walberg scandal, health issue, retirement announcement, or national Democratic wave could narrow the gap.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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