As of mid-May 2026, the National Hurricane Center’s first routine Tropical Weather Outlook shows no disturbances capable of development across the Atlantic basin, Caribbean, or Gulf over the next seven days, with two tropical waves in a dry, stable environment that suppresses thunderstorm activity. An emerging El Niño pattern is strengthening wind shear, further inhibiting early organization. While May has produced occasional named storms historically, recent quiet periods in 2022 and 2024 align with current conditions, and seasonal forecasts project below-average overall activity. Traders therefore assign 79.3% odds to no named storm forming before the June 1 start, with daily NHC updates providing the next key data points through month-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNamed storm forms before hurricane season?
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
$341,219 Обс.
$341,219 Обс.
May 31, 2026
$341,219 Обс.
$341,219 Обс.
May 31, 2026
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.As of mid-May 2026, the National Hurricane Center’s first routine Tropical Weather Outlook shows no disturbances capable of development across the Atlantic basin, Caribbean, or Gulf over the next seven days, with two tropical waves in a dry, stable environment that suppresses thunderstorm activity. An emerging El Niño pattern is strengthening wind shear, further inhibiting early organization. While May has produced occasional named storms historically, recent quiet periods in 2022 and 2024 align with current conditions, and seasonal forecasts project below-average overall activity. Traders therefore assign 79.3% odds to no named storm forming before the June 1 start, with daily NHC updates providing the next key data points through month-end.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ET
Обсяг
$341,219Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.As of mid-May 2026, the National Hurricane Center’s first routine Tropical Weather Outlook shows no disturbances capable of development across the Atlantic basin, Caribbean, or Gulf over the next seven days, with two tropical waves in a dry, stable environment that suppresses thunderstorm activity. An emerging El Niño pattern is strengthening wind shear, further inhibiting early organization. While May has produced occasional named storms historically, recent quiet periods in 2022 and 2024 align with current conditions, and seasonal forecasts project below-average overall activity. Traders therefore assign 79.3% odds to no named storm forming before the June 1 start, with daily NHC updates providing the next key data points through month-end.
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season will take place over a period lasting from June 1 to November 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Обсяг
$341,219Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As of mid-May 2026, the National Hurricane Center’s first routine Tropical Weather Outlook shows no disturbances capable of development across the Atlantic basin, Caribbean, or Gulf over the next seven days, with two tropical waves in a dry, stable environment that suppresses thunderstorm activity. An emerging El Niño pattern is strengthening wind shear, further inhibiting early organization. While May has produced occasional named storms historically, recent quiet periods in 2022 and 2024 align with current conditions, and seasonal forecasts project below-average overall activity. Traders therefore assign 79.3% odds to no named storm forming before the June 1 start, with daily NHC updates providing the next key data points through month-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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