Recent NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center data show persistently low solar activity throughout the May 10–16 window, with only a single M5.8 flare from active region AR4436 on May 10 producing an R2 radio blackout and no R3+ events, G3+ geomagnetic storms, or S3+ radiation storms recorded. Quiet solar wind speeds near 400–450 km/s and subdued Kp indices have kept conditions calm, driving strong trader consensus around zero major events. While AR4436 remains potentially Earth-facing and a weak coronal hole high-speed stream is expected late in the period, forecasts limit any impacts to G1 levels or below. Traders continue monitoring daily GOES X-ray flux and SWPC alerts for any last-minute shifts before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHow many major Space Weather events this week? (May 10 - May 16)
0 94%
1 5.3%
4 2.1%
3 1.6%
$983 Обс.
$983 Обс.
0
89%
1
5%
2
1%
3
2%
4
2%
5
<1%
6+
1%
0 94%
1 5.3%
4 2.1%
3 1.6%
$983 Обс.
$983 Обс.
0
89%
1
5%
2
1%
3
2%
4
2%
5
<1%
6+
1%
A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Ринок відкрито: May 9, 2026, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A G3 event is a geomagnetic storm with a classification indicating "Strong". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. An R3 event is a radio blackout event with a classification indicating "Strong". More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation
This market may not resolve until the end of the relevant timeframe. This market will resolve according to the final number of qualifying events at the end of this market's timeframe to allow for revisions to the data. Only the initial report of an ongoing event with multiple reports will qualify, unless the rating of the event is upgraded to a qualifying level from a non-qualifying level within this market's timeframe.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center in the "ALERTS, WATCHES AND WARNINGS" table located under the heading titled "Current Space Weather Conditions" at https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center data show persistently low solar activity throughout the May 10–16 window, with only a single M5.8 flare from active region AR4436 on May 10 producing an R2 radio blackout and no R3+ events, G3+ geomagnetic storms, or S3+ radiation storms recorded. Quiet solar wind speeds near 400–450 km/s and subdued Kp indices have kept conditions calm, driving strong trader consensus around zero major events. While AR4436 remains potentially Earth-facing and a weak coronal hole high-speed stream is expected late in the period, forecasts limit any impacts to G1 levels or below. Traders continue monitoring daily GOES X-ray flux and SWPC alerts for any last-minute shifts before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання