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Технологія·Big Tech

Закриття IPO OpenAI Ринкова капіталізація

icon for Закриття IPO OpenAI Ринкова капіталізація
Технологія·Big Tech

Закриття IPO OpenAI Ринкова капіталізація

Dec 31

Dec 31, 2027

Dec 31

Dec 31, 2027

Жодного IPO до 31 грудня 2026 року 74%

1,5 трлн+ 8.0%

1,25–1,5 трлн 3.7%

500–750 млрд 3.5%

Polymarket

$1,638,745 Обс.

Жодного IPO до 31 грудня 2026 року 74%

1,5 трлн+ 8.0%

1,25–1,5 трлн 3.7%

500–750 млрд 3.5%

Polymarket

$1,638,745 Обс.

<500 млрд

$266,170 Обс.

1%

500–750 млрд

$146,331 Обс.

3%

750 млрд – 1 трлн

$141,042 Обс.

2%

1–1,25 трлн

$182,614 Обс.

2%

1,25–1,5 трлн

$496,517 Обс.

4%

1,5 трлн+

$101,032 Обс.

8%

Жодного IPO до 31 грудня 2026 року

$305,039 Обс.

74%

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The market assigns a 73.5% implied probability to no OpenAI IPO by December 31, 2026, driven primarily by recent reports of an internal rift between CEO Sam Altman and CFO Sarah Friar over an aggressive 2026 timeline. OpenAI’s heavy infrastructure spending on GPUs and data centers, combined with the need to meet rigorous public-company reporting standards, has prompted analysts to shift expectations toward a mid- or late-2027 listing despite robust revenue growth exceeding $25 billion annualized. Competitive pressure from other frontier AI labs and ongoing legal matters further complicate preparations, while the company’s latest private valuation near $850 billion underscores strong underlying demand for its large language models. Traders will watch for any S-1 filing activity or updated guidance in the second half of 2026 as potential catalysts that could still alter these odds.

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$1,638,745
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The market assigns a 73.5% implied probability to no OpenAI IPO by December 31, 2026, driven primarily by recent reports of an internal rift between CEO Sam Altman and CFO Sarah Friar over an aggressive 2026 timeline. OpenAI’s heavy infrastructure spending on GPUs and data centers, combined with the need to meet rigorous public-company reporting standards, has prompted analysts to shift expectations toward a mid- or late-2027 listing despite robust revenue growth exceeding $25 billion annualized. Competitive pressure from other frontier AI labs and ongoing legal matters further complicate preparations, while the company’s latest private valuation near $850 billion underscores strong underlying demand for its large language models. Traders will watch for any S-1 filing activity or updated guidance in the second half of 2026 as potential catalysts that could still alter these odds.

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$1,638,745
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Закриття IPO OpenAI Ринкова капіталізація» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Жодного IPO до 31 грудня 2026 року» з 74%, далі «1,5 трлн+» з 8%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Закриття IPO OpenAI Ринкова капіталізація» згенерував $1.6 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Sep 23, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Закриття IPO OpenAI Ринкова капіталізація», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Закриття IPO OpenAI Ринкова капіталізація» — «Жодного IPO до 31 грудня 2026 року» з 74%. Наступний — «1,5 трлн+» з 8%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Закриття IPO OpenAI Ринкова капіталізація» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.