Republican majorities in Congress have sustained high barriers to removing President Trump before 2027, even as Democratic lawmakers renewed calls in April for 25th Amendment reviews and impeachment proceedings tied to his public statements on Iran and reported health concerns. These initiatives have not secured bipartisan backing or cabinet support required for formal action under constitutional procedures. Traders assess the structural realities of legislative control, historical patterns for invoking presidential succession, and absence of imminent votes as the primary drivers behind the 90.5% implied probability on continuation. Midterm elections scheduled for later this year represent the next potential inflection point, though current conditions favor stability through 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоТак
$8,518,570 Обс.
$8,518,570 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Так
$8,518,570 Обс.
$8,518,570 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in Congress have sustained high barriers to removing President Trump before 2027, even as Democratic lawmakers renewed calls in April for 25th Amendment reviews and impeachment proceedings tied to his public statements on Iran and reported health concerns. These initiatives have not secured bipartisan backing or cabinet support required for formal action under constitutional procedures. Traders assess the structural realities of legislative control, historical patterns for invoking presidential succession, and absence of imminent votes as the primary drivers behind the 90.5% implied probability on continuation. Midterm elections scheduled for later this year represent the next potential inflection point, though current conditions favor stability through 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$8,518,570Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in Congress have sustained high barriers to removing President Trump before 2027, even as Democratic lawmakers renewed calls in April for 25th Amendment reviews and impeachment proceedings tied to his public statements on Iran and reported health concerns. These initiatives have not secured bipartisan backing or cabinet support required for formal action under constitutional procedures. Traders assess the structural realities of legislative control, historical patterns for invoking presidential succession, and absence of imminent votes as the primary drivers behind the 90.5% implied probability on continuation. Midterm elections scheduled for later this year represent the next potential inflection point, though current conditions favor stability through 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$8,518,570Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican majorities in Congress have sustained high barriers to removing President Trump before 2027, even as Democratic lawmakers renewed calls in April for 25th Amendment reviews and impeachment proceedings tied to his public statements on Iran and reported health concerns. These initiatives have not secured bipartisan backing or cabinet support required for formal action under constitutional procedures. Traders assess the structural realities of legislative control, historical patterns for invoking presidential succession, and absence of imminent votes as the primary drivers behind the 90.5% implied probability on continuation. Midterm elections scheduled for later this year represent the next potential inflection point, though current conditions favor stability through 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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