Recent moderation in U.S. inflation to 3.5% year-over-year in June 2026, alongside easing energy prices following de-escalation in the U.S.-Iran situation, has supported University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment near its July final reading of 55.2. Year-ahead inflation expectations declined to 4.2%, while the labor market remains stable with unemployment near 4.3-4.5%. Persistent concerns over elevated living costs and a somber long-term economic outlook continue to cap gains below year-ago levels. With the preliminary August release due August 14 and July CPI data imminent, trader-implied odds reflect balanced probabilities across the 52-57.9 range, driven by uncertainty over whether recent momentum persists amid ongoing pocketbook pressures.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено52.0–54.9 34%
55.0–57.9 31%
49.0–51.9 16%
58.0–60.9 6.7%
$15,745 Обс.
$15,745 Обс.
Aug 28, 2026
<49.0
<1%
49.0–51.9
16%
52.0–54.9
34%
55.0–57.9
31%
58.0–60.9
7%
61.0–63.9
4%
64.0+
4%
52.0–54.9 34%
55.0–57.9 31%
49.0–51.9 16%
58.0–60.9 6.7%
$15,745 Обс.
$15,745 Обс.
Aug 28, 2026
<49.0
$578 Обс.
<1%
49.0–51.9
$1,096 Обс.
16%
52.0–54.9
$9,767 Обс.
34%
55.0–57.9
$2,480 Обс.
31%
58.0–60.9
$918 Обс.
7%
61.0–63.9
$436 Обс.
4%
64.0+
$471 Обс.
4%
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in U.S. inflation to 3.5% year-over-year in June 2026, alongside easing energy prices following de-escalation in the U.S.-Iran situation, has supported University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment near its July final reading of 55.2. Year-ahead inflation expectations declined to 4.2%, while the labor market remains stable with unemployment near 4.3-4.5%. Persistent concerns over elevated living costs and a somber long-term economic outlook continue to cap gains below year-ago levels. With the preliminary August release due August 14 and July CPI data imminent, trader-implied odds reflect balanced probabilities across the 52-57.9 range, driven by uncertainty over whether recent momentum persists amid ongoing pocketbook pressures.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Обсяг
$15,745Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in U.S. inflation to 3.5% year-over-year in June 2026, alongside easing energy prices following de-escalation in the U.S.-Iran situation, has supported University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment near its July final reading of 55.2. Year-ahead inflation expectations declined to 4.2%, while the labor market remains stable with unemployment near 4.3-4.5%. Persistent concerns over elevated living costs and a somber long-term economic outlook continue to cap gains below year-ago levels. With the preliminary August release due August 14 and July CPI data imminent, trader-implied odds reflect balanced probabilities across the 52-57.9 range, driven by uncertainty over whether recent momentum persists amid ongoing pocketbook pressures.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Обсяг
$15,745Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent moderation in U.S. inflation to 3.5% year-over-year in June 2026, alongside easing energy prices following de-escalation in the U.S.-Iran situation, has supported University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment near its July final reading of 55.2. Year-ahead inflation expectations declined to 4.2%, while the labor market remains stable with unemployment near 4.3-4.5%. Persistent concerns over elevated living costs and a somber long-term economic outlook continue to cap gains below year-ago levels. With the preliminary August release due August 14 and July CPI data imminent, trader-implied odds reflect balanced probabilities across the 52-57.9 range, driven by uncertainty over whether recent momentum persists amid ongoing pocketbook pressures.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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