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Політика·Припинення вогню в Ірані

Дипломатична зустріч США та Ірану за допомогою...?

icon for Дипломатична зустріч США та Ірану за допомогою...?
Політика·Припинення вогню в Ірані

Дипломатична зустріч США та Ірану за допомогою...?

Apr 30

Apr 30

$44,411,533 Обс.

May 15, 2026
Polymarket

$44,411,533 Обс.

Polymarket

June 10

$147,428 Обс.

<1%

June 30

$3,312,014 Обс.

37%

June 15

$1,128,909 Обс.

5%

July 31

$356,409 Обс.

47%

June 21

$108,109 Обс.

17%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Negotiations between the United States and Iran remain stalled following multiple indirect rounds in Oman, Geneva, and Islamabad through April 2026, with a temporary ceasefire holding since early that month. Key sticking points include Iran's nuclear program, uranium enrichment limits, ballistic missiles, sanctions relief, and reopening the Strait of Hormuz, alongside linked demands over the Lebanon conflict. In early May, Iran submitted a counterproposal seeking phased concessions and economic guarantees, which President Trump described as unsatisfactory, prompting further exchanges but no breakthrough. Iranian officials continue to condition substantive progress on upfront U.S. assurances against future withdrawals and immediate relief, while U.S. positions emphasize verifiable limits on Tehran's capabilities. Recent statements from both sides highlight mutual mistrust and procedural pauses, with no high-level meetings scheduled in the immediate term.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.

Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.

The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$44,411,533
Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 18, 2026, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Negotiations between the United States and Iran remain stalled following multiple indirect rounds in Oman, Geneva, and Islamabad through April 2026, with a temporary ceasefire holding since early that month. Key sticking points include Iran's nuclear program, uranium enrichment limits, ballistic missiles, sanctions relief, and reopening the Strait of Hormuz, alongside linked demands over the Lebanon conflict. In early May, Iran submitted a counterproposal seeking phased concessions and economic guarantees, which President Trump described as unsatisfactory, prompting further exchanges but no breakthrough. Iranian officials continue to condition substantive progress on upfront U.S. assurances against future withdrawals and immediate relief, while U.S. positions emphasize verifiable limits on Tehran's capabilities. Recent statements from both sides highlight mutual mistrust and procedural pauses, with no high-level meetings scheduled in the immediate term.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.

Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.

The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$44,411,533
Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 18, 2026, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Дипломатична зустріч США та Ірану за допомогою...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 28 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «July 31» з 47%, далі «June 30» з 37%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Дипломатична зустріч США та Ірану за допомогою...?» згенерував $44.4 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 12, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Дипломатична зустріч США та Ірану за допомогою...?», перегляньте 28 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Дипломатична зустріч США та Ірану за допомогою...?» — «July 31» з 47%. Наступний — «June 30» з 37%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Дипломатична зустріч США та Ірану за допомогою...?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.