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What will the median home value in the US be on June 30?

icon for What will the median home value in the US be on June 30?

What will the median home value in the US be on June 30?

<$429k 27%

$429k - $431k 18%

$431k - $433k 15%

$433k - $435k 11%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

<$429k 27%

$429k - $431k 18%

$431k - $433k 15%

$433k - $435k 11%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

<$429k

$176 Обс.

27%

$429k - $431k

$18 Обс.

18%

$431k - $433k

$1 Обс.

15%

$433k - $435k

$1 Обс.

11%

$435k - $437k

$0 Обс.

7%

$437k - $439k

$30 Обс.

5%

>$439k

$0 Обс.

5%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.4% and only modest year-over-year home price gains of 1-2% have kept median U.S. home values in check through May 2026, with Redfin and FHFA data showing limited appreciation amid rising inventory. Trader consensus, reflected in the highest 33% implied probability on outcomes below $429,000, aligns with subdued demand and sales volumes that have not supported stronger upward momentum. The broad distribution across buckets underscores uncertainty from pending June data releases, seasonal summer demand patterns, and potential volatility in median sale prices versus typical-value indexes. Key near-term catalysts include any shifts in 30-year fixed rates or new-home sales figures due by late June.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
Обсяг
$227
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.4% and only modest year-over-year home price gains of 1-2% have kept median U.S. home values in check through May 2026, with Redfin and FHFA data showing limited appreciation amid rising inventory. Trader consensus, reflected in the highest 33% implied probability on outcomes below $429,000, aligns with subdued demand and sales volumes that have not supported stronger upward momentum. The broad distribution across buckets underscores uncertainty from pending June data releases, seasonal summer demand patterns, and potential volatility in median sale prices versus typical-value indexes. Key near-term catalysts include any shifts in 30-year fixed rates or new-home sales figures due by late June.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
Обсяг
$227
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«What will the median home value in the US be on June 30?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «<$429k» з 27%, далі «$429k - $431k» з 18%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«What will the median home value in the US be on June 30?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jun 2, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «What will the median home value in the US be on June 30?», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «What will the median home value in the US be on June 30?» — «<$429k» з 27%. Наступний — «$429k - $431k» з 18%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «What will the median home value in the US be on June 30?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.