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Економ·Parcl

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on June 30?

icon for What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on June 30?
Економ·Parcl

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on June 30?

>$1.244M 46%

$1.230M - $1.244M 25%

$1.216M - $1.230M 10%

$1.174M - $1.188M 7%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

>$1.244M 46%

$1.230M - $1.244M 25%

$1.216M - $1.230M 10%

$1.174M - $1.188M 7%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

<$1.174M

$38 Обс.

4%

$1.174M - $1.188M

$38 Обс.

7%

$1.188M - $1.202M

$38 Обс.

4%

$1.202M - $1.216M

$62 Обс.

5%

$1.216M - $1.230M

$345 Обс.

10%

$1.230M - $1.244M

$199 Обс.

22%

>$1.244M

$345 Обс.

46%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)Recent AI-driven wealth creation and tight housing inventory have fueled upward pressure on San Francisco Metro median home values, with Redfin reporting median sale prices near $1.7 million through May 2026 amid 16% year-over-year gains, though broader metro indices such as Zillow track closer to the $1.2 million range. Mortgage rates hovering near 6.3% have provided some affordability support relative to 2025 peaks, yet constrained supply and strong tech-sector demand continue to support elevated valuations. With the June 30 resolution approaching, the closely matched market-implied odds—led by the $1.216–1.230 million bucket at 36.5%—reflect trader uncertainty over whether the latest monthly data releases will confirm stabilization around current levels or show further acceleration driven by luxury segment strength.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)
Обсяг
$1,065
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)Recent AI-driven wealth creation and tight housing inventory have fueled upward pressure on San Francisco Metro median home values, with Redfin reporting median sale prices near $1.7 million through May 2026 amid 16% year-over-year gains, though broader metro indices such as Zillow track closer to the $1.2 million range. Mortgage rates hovering near 6.3% have provided some affordability support relative to 2025 peaks, yet constrained supply and strong tech-sector demand continue to support elevated valuations. With the June 30 resolution approaching, the closely matched market-implied odds—led by the $1.216–1.230 million bucket at 36.5%—reflect trader uncertainty over whether the latest monthly data releases will confirm stabilization around current levels or show further acceleration driven by luxury segment strength.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)
Обсяг
$1,065
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on June 30?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «>$1.244M» з 46%, далі «$1.230M - $1.244M» з 22%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on June 30?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jun 2, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on June 30?», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on June 30?» — «>$1.244M» з 46%. Наступний — «$1.230M - $1.244M» з 22%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on June 30?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.