Trader sentiment on the June 2026 U.S. annual CPI remains tightly balanced, with outcomes clustered between 4.0% and 4.2% holding the largest implied probabilities. The May 2026 CPI release at 4.2% YoY—up from 3.8% in April—has anchored expectations amid elevated energy prices linked to geopolitical tensions and lingering tariff effects. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place June headline CPI near 4.05% YoY, while core measures show modest persistence around 2.9%. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether incoming data will confirm a peak or sustain the recent uptick, with the next FOMC meeting and July 14 CPI release serving as key catalysts that could shift the narrow distribution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоJune Inflation US - Annual
June Inflation US - Annual
4.1% 23%
4.0% 22%
4.2% 19%
3.9% 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 15, 2026
≤3.6%
2%
3.7%
4%
3.8%
3%
3.9%
16%
4.0%
22%
4.1%
23%
4.2%
19%
4.3%
14%
4.4%
5%
4.5%
5%
4.6%
1%
≥4.7%
4%
4.1% 23%
4.0% 22%
4.2% 19%
3.9% 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 15, 2026
≤3.6%
$204 Обс.
2%
3.7%
$199 Обс.
4%
3.8%
$219 Обс.
3%
3.9%
$689 Обс.
16%
4.0%
$552 Обс.
22%
4.1%
$234 Обс.
23%
4.2%
$227 Обс.
19%
4.3%
$215 Обс.
14%
4.4%
$229 Обс.
5%
4.5%
$217 Обс.
5%
4.6%
$196 Обс.
1%
≥4.7%
$242 Обс.
4%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader sentiment on the June 2026 U.S. annual CPI remains tightly balanced, with outcomes clustered between 4.0% and 4.2% holding the largest implied probabilities. The May 2026 CPI release at 4.2% YoY—up from 3.8% in April—has anchored expectations amid elevated energy prices linked to geopolitical tensions and lingering tariff effects. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place June headline CPI near 4.05% YoY, while core measures show modest persistence around 2.9%. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether incoming data will confirm a peak or sustain the recent uptick, with the next FOMC meeting and July 14 CPI release serving as key catalysts that could shift the narrow distribution.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 10, 2026, 11:38 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,397Дата завершення
Jul 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 10, 2026, 11:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader sentiment on the June 2026 U.S. annual CPI remains tightly balanced, with outcomes clustered between 4.0% and 4.2% holding the largest implied probabilities. The May 2026 CPI release at 4.2% YoY—up from 3.8% in April—has anchored expectations amid elevated energy prices linked to geopolitical tensions and lingering tariff effects. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place June headline CPI near 4.05% YoY, while core measures show modest persistence around 2.9%. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether incoming data will confirm a peak or sustain the recent uptick, with the next FOMC meeting and July 14 CPI release serving as key catalysts that could shift the narrow distribution.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Обсяг
$3,397Дата завершення
Jul 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 10, 2026, 11:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on the June 2026 U.S. annual CPI remains tightly balanced, with outcomes clustered between 4.0% and 4.2% holding the largest implied probabilities. The May 2026 CPI release at 4.2% YoY—up from 3.8% in April—has anchored expectations amid elevated energy prices linked to geopolitical tensions and lingering tariff effects. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place June headline CPI near 4.05% YoY, while core measures show modest persistence around 2.9%. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether incoming data will confirm a peak or sustain the recent uptick, with the next FOMC meeting and July 14 CPI release serving as key catalysts that could shift the narrow distribution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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