Recent May 2026 core CPI data printed at 2.9% year-over-year, matching forecasts and marking the highest reading since September 2025 amid steady shelter and services components. Cleveland Fed nowcasts and analyst models for the June figure cluster tightly around 2.8–3.0%, reflecting modest base effects and limited additional pressure from recent commodity moves. This data trajectory, alongside the Federal Reserve’s ongoing focus on returning inflation to its 2% target, has anchored trader sentiment and produced closely contested implied probabilities near 49% for 3.0%, 46.5% for 2.9%, and 45.5% for 3.1%. Key swing factors ahead of the July 14 release include June labor-market readings and any further clarity on energy-price pass-through.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено2.9% 47%
3.0% 47%
3.1% 46%
3.2% 31%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 15, 2026
≤2.4%
28%
2.5%
29%
2.6%
28%
2.7%
28%
2.8%
28%
2.9%
47%
3.0%
47%
3.1%
46%
3.2%
31%
≥3.3%
29%
2.9% 47%
3.0% 47%
3.1% 46%
3.2% 31%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 15, 2026
≤2.4%
$0 Обс.
28%
2.5%
$0 Обс.
29%
2.6%
$0 Обс.
28%
2.7%
$1 Обс.
28%
2.8%
$0 Обс.
28%
2.9%
$0 Обс.
47%
3.0%
$0 Обс.
47%
3.1%
$41 Обс.
46%
3.2%
$44 Обс.
31%
≥3.3%
$44 Обс.
29%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent May 2026 core CPI data printed at 2.9% year-over-year, matching forecasts and marking the highest reading since September 2025 amid steady shelter and services components. Cleveland Fed nowcasts and analyst models for the June figure cluster tightly around 2.8–3.0%, reflecting modest base effects and limited additional pressure from recent commodity moves. This data trajectory, alongside the Federal Reserve’s ongoing focus on returning inflation to its 2% target, has anchored trader sentiment and produced closely contested implied probabilities near 49% for 3.0%, 46.5% for 2.9%, and 45.5% for 3.1%. Key swing factors ahead of the July 14 release include June labor-market readings and any further clarity on energy-price pass-through.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 10, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
Обсяг
$130Дата завершення
Jul 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 10, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent May 2026 core CPI data printed at 2.9% year-over-year, matching forecasts and marking the highest reading since September 2025 amid steady shelter and services components. Cleveland Fed nowcasts and analyst models for the June figure cluster tightly around 2.8–3.0%, reflecting modest base effects and limited additional pressure from recent commodity moves. This data trajectory, alongside the Federal Reserve’s ongoing focus on returning inflation to its 2% target, has anchored trader sentiment and produced closely contested implied probabilities near 49% for 3.0%, 46.5% for 2.9%, and 45.5% for 3.1%. Key swing factors ahead of the July 14 release include June labor-market readings and any further clarity on energy-price pass-through.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Обсяг
$130Дата завершення
Jul 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 10, 2026, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent May 2026 core CPI data printed at 2.9% year-over-year, matching forecasts and marking the highest reading since September 2025 amid steady shelter and services components. Cleveland Fed nowcasts and analyst models for the June figure cluster tightly around 2.8–3.0%, reflecting modest base effects and limited additional pressure from recent commodity moves. This data trajectory, alongside the Federal Reserve’s ongoing focus on returning inflation to its 2% target, has anchored trader sentiment and produced closely contested implied probabilities near 49% for 3.0%, 46.5% for 2.9%, and 45.5% for 3.1%. Key swing factors ahead of the July 14 release include June labor-market readings and any further clarity on energy-price pass-through.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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