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Геополітика·Трамп

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

icon for Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Геополітика·Трамп

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$268,681 Обс.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$268,681 Обс.

Polymarket

South Korea

$55,095 Обс.

28%

Canada

$2,417 Обс.

25%

India

$38,411 Обс.

25%

Russia

$1,979 Обс.

16%

Brazil

$3,158 Обс.

19%

United Kingdom

$419 Обс.

25%

Israel

$343 Обс.

17%

South Africa

$354 Обс.

17%

Indonesia

$18,708 Обс.

15%

Vietnam

$5,155 Обс.

14%

Argentina

$19,939 Обс.

14%

Mexico

$1,850 Обс.

14%

Japan

$5,093 Обс.

13%

Pakistan

$71,400 Обс.

13%

Taiwan

$31,675 Обс.

10%

European Union

$7,470 Обс.

8%

Australia

$5,214 Обс.

13%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's second-term trade policy has centered on the Agreement on Reciprocal Trade program, launched after April 2025 reciprocal tariff announcements that triggered bilateral framework negotiations with major partners. By early 2026, the administration had signed or implemented deals with the United Kingdom, Japan, Indonesia, India, Argentina, El Salvador, Ecuador, and Guatemala, often reducing baseline tariffs in exchange for market access and supply-chain commitments. The March 2026 Trade Policy Agenda emphasizes converting additional frameworks—such as those with the European Union, South Korea, Switzerland, and Vietnam—into full agreements while pursuing enforcement and critical minerals deals. Ongoing talks and scheduled diplomatic engagements through late 2026 remain the primary catalysts that could determine further outcomes before the 2027 cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$268,681
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's second-term trade policy has centered on the Agreement on Reciprocal Trade program, launched after April 2025 reciprocal tariff announcements that triggered bilateral framework negotiations with major partners. By early 2026, the administration had signed or implemented deals with the United Kingdom, Japan, Indonesia, India, Argentina, El Salvador, Ecuador, and Guatemala, often reducing baseline tariffs in exchange for market access and supply-chain commitments. The March 2026 Trade Policy Agenda emphasizes converting additional frameworks—such as those with the European Union, South Korea, Switzerland, and Vietnam—into full agreements while pursuing enforcement and critical minerals deals. Ongoing talks and scheduled diplomatic engagements through late 2026 remain the primary catalysts that could determine further outcomes before the 2027 cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$268,681
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 17 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «South Korea» з 28%, далі «Canada» з 25%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?» згенерував $268.7K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 5, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?», перегляньте 17 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?» — «South Korea» з 28%. Наступний — «Canada» з 25%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.