Skip to main content
icon for Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence
Політика·DNI

Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence

icon for Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence
Політика·DNI

Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence

НОВЕ
Jan 1, 2027
Polymarket

$1,553 Обс.

Polymarket

Thom Tillis

$201 Обс.

83%

John Curtis

$67 Обс.

64%

John Fetterman

$0 Обс.

44%

Mitch McConnell

$108 Обс.

59%

Lisa Murkowski

$43 Обс.

50%

Susan Collins

$35 Обс.

51%

Dan Sullivan

$972 Обс.

56%

Rand Paul

$36 Обс.

55%

John Cornyn

$48 Обс.

52%

Bill Cassidy

$43 Обс.

50%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting. President Donald Trump’s June 17 Truth Social post abruptly postponed Jay Clayton’s scheduled Senate Intelligence Committee confirmation hearing, tying progress to Senate approval of his replacement as U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York and advancement of a voter ID measure. Clayton, the current SDNY U.S. Attorney and former SEC chair, had been positioned for rapid confirmation to stabilize leadership of the intelligence community amid an expired Section 702 surveillance authority. The Senate had initially fast-tracked the process with bipartisan praise for Clayton’s prosecutorial and regulatory experience, though acting DNI Bill Pulte remains in place. Resolution hinges on Senate vote thresholds, committee rescheduling, and any procedural holds or linked legislation before full confirmation.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$1,553
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 11:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting. President Donald Trump’s June 17 Truth Social post abruptly postponed Jay Clayton’s scheduled Senate Intelligence Committee confirmation hearing, tying progress to Senate approval of his replacement as U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York and advancement of a voter ID measure. Clayton, the current SDNY U.S. Attorney and former SEC chair, had been positioned for rapid confirmation to stabilize leadership of the intelligence community amid an expired Section 702 surveillance authority. The Senate had initially fast-tracked the process with bipartisan praise for Clayton’s prosecutorial and regulatory experience, though acting DNI Bill Pulte remains in place. Resolution hinges on Senate vote thresholds, committee rescheduling, and any procedural holds or linked legislation before full confirmation.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$1,553
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 11:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 10 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Thom Tillis» з 83%, далі «John Curtis» з 64%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jun 12, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence», перегляньте 10 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence» — «Thom Tillis» з 83%. Наступний — «John Curtis» з 64%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.