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Політика·Венесуела

Чи будуть США офіційно оголошувати війну Венесуелі за...?

icon for Чи будуть США офіційно оголошувати війну Венесуелі за...?
Політика·Венесуела

Чи будуть США офіційно оголошувати війну Венесуелі за...?

$1,242,804 Обс.

Dec 31, 2025
Polymarket

$1,242,804 Обс.

Polymarket

30 червня 2026

$477,378 Обс.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.The United States conducted targeted military strikes inside Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing former President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narco-terrorism charges during Operation Absolute Resolve, yet no formal declaration of war has followed. Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated explicitly that the action did not constitute war, framing it instead as support for law enforcement and counter-narcotics efforts that built on earlier naval deployments and vessel interdictions dating to September 2025. Since the operation, Washington and Caracas have reopened diplomatic channels, the U.S. has lifted select oil sanctions, and bilateral energy agreements have advanced under acting leadership. These steps, alongside ongoing legal proceedings against Maduro in New York, have shaped trader views toward continued restraint rather than escalation to a declared conflict.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.

The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$1,242,804
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.The United States conducted targeted military strikes inside Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing former President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narco-terrorism charges during Operation Absolute Resolve, yet no formal declaration of war has followed. Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated explicitly that the action did not constitute war, framing it instead as support for law enforcement and counter-narcotics efforts that built on earlier naval deployments and vessel interdictions dating to September 2025. Since the operation, Washington and Caracas have reopened diplomatic channels, the U.S. has lifted select oil sanctions, and bilateral energy agreements have advanced under acting leadership. These steps, alongside ongoing legal proceedings against Maduro in New York, have shaped trader views toward continued restraint rather than escalation to a declared conflict.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.

The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$1,242,804
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Чи будуть США офіційно оголошувати війну Венесуелі за...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «30 червня 2026» з 1%, далі «31 грудня» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Чи будуть США офіційно оголошувати війну Венесуелі за...?» згенерував $1.2 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 15, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Чи будуть США офіційно оголошувати війну Венесуелі за...?», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Це відкритий ринок. Поточний лідер для «Чи будуть США офіційно оголошувати війну Венесуелі за...?» — «30 червня 2026» лише з 1%, а «31 грудня» — близько позаду з 0%. Жоден результат не має впевненої більшості — трейдери вважають це дуже невизначеним.

Правила вирішення для «Чи будуть США офіційно оголошувати війну Венесуелі за...?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.