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Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

icon for Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

<1% шанс
Polymarket

$369,259 Обс.

<1% шанс
Polymarket

$369,259 Обс.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House of Representatives and Senate makes any impeachment effort against President Trump before June 30 highly improbable, as party leadership has shown no inclination to pursue articles of impeachment. With the current congressional calendar focused on appropriations and routine legislative priorities, no committee hearings or floor votes have advanced on this front. Trader consensus at 99 percent reflects the structural barriers of needing a majority in the House followed by a two-thirds Senate vote. Even isolated calls from individual lawmakers have failed to gain traction. A sudden revelation of serious misconduct or an unexpected shift in House composition could theoretically alter the timeline, though both remain outside the immediate resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Обсяг
$369,259
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House of Representatives and Senate makes any impeachment effort against President Trump before June 30 highly improbable, as party leadership has shown no inclination to pursue articles of impeachment. With the current congressional calendar focused on appropriations and routine legislative priorities, no committee hearings or floor votes have advanced on this front. Trader consensus at 99 percent reflects the structural barriers of needing a majority in the House followed by a two-thirds Senate vote. Even isolated calls from individual lawmakers have failed to gain traction. A sudden revelation of serious misconduct or an unexpected shift in House composition could theoretically alter the timeline, though both remain outside the immediate resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Обсяг
$369,259
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will Trump be impeached by June 30?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 1% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 1¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 1%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Will Trump be impeached by June 30?» згенерував $369.3K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 5, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Trump be impeached by June 30?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Will Trump be impeached by June 30?» — 1% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 1% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Will Trump be impeached by June 30?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.