Recent U.S. inflation data, including August PPI at 5.4% year-over-year and CPI prints near 3.4%, alongside surging oil prices from U.S.-Iran tensions, have lifted September FOMC rate-hike odds to roughly 60-70% for a 25 basis point move. This hawkish repricing under Chair Kevin Warsh has strengthened the dollar, pushed Treasury yields higher, and elevated real rates, increasing gold’s opportunity cost near current levels around $4,340–$4,350 per ounce. Central bank buying and safe-haven flows provide some floor, yet the dominant near-term pressure stems from monetary policy expectations. Key catalysts this week include the September 16 FOMC decision, retail sales, and further inflation or geopolitical developments that could shift implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
↑ $4,650
50%
↑ $4,600
50%
↑ $4,550
50%
↑ $4,500
50%
↑ $4,450
64%
↑ $4,400
74%
↑ $4,350
78%
↓ $4,300
74%
↓ $4,250
64%
↓ $4,200
50%
↓ $4,150
50%
↓ $4,100
50%
↓ $4,050
50%
↓ $4,000
50%
$26 Обс.
↑ $4,650
$6 Обс.
50%
↑ $4,600
$0 Обс.
50%
↑ $4,550
$0 Обс.
50%
↑ $4,500
$0 Обс.
50%
↑ $4,450
$0 Обс.
64%
↑ $4,400
$0 Обс.
74%
↑ $4,350
$0 Обс.
78%
↓ $4,300
$0 Обс.
74%
↓ $4,250
$20 Обс.
64%
↓ $4,200
$0 Обс.
50%
↓ $4,150
$0 Обс.
50%
↓ $4,100
$0 Обс.
50%
↓ $4,050
$0 Обс.
50%
↓ $4,000
$0 Обс.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of September 14 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Recent U.S. inflation data, including August PPI at 5.4% year-over-year and CPI prints near 3.4%, alongside surging oil prices from U.S.-Iran tensions, have lifted September FOMC rate-hike odds to roughly 60-70% for a 25 basis point move. This hawkish repricing under Chair Kevin Warsh has strengthened the dollar, pushed Treasury yields higher, and elevated real rates, increasing gold’s opportunity cost near current levels around $4,340–$4,350 per ounce. Central bank buying and safe-haven flows provide some floor, yet the dominant near-term pressure stems from monetary policy expectations. Key catalysts this week include the September 16 FOMC decision, retail sales, and further inflation or geopolitical developments that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of September 14 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$26Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 6:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of September 14 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Recent U.S. inflation data, including August PPI at 5.4% year-over-year and CPI prints near 3.4%, alongside surging oil prices from U.S.-Iran tensions, have lifted September FOMC rate-hike odds to roughly 60-70% for a 25 basis point move. This hawkish repricing under Chair Kevin Warsh has strengthened the dollar, pushed Treasury yields higher, and elevated real rates, increasing gold’s opportunity cost near current levels around $4,340–$4,350 per ounce. Central bank buying and safe-haven flows provide some floor, yet the dominant near-term pressure stems from monetary policy expectations. Key catalysts this week include the September 16 FOMC decision, retail sales, and further inflation or geopolitical developments that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of September 14 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Обсяг
$26Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 6:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. inflation data, including August PPI at 5.4% year-over-year and CPI prints near 3.4%, alongside surging oil prices from U.S.-Iran tensions, have lifted September FOMC rate-hike odds to roughly 60-70% for a 25 basis point move. This hawkish repricing under Chair Kevin Warsh has strengthened the dollar, pushed Treasury yields higher, and elevated real rates, increasing gold’s opportunity cost near current levels around $4,340–$4,350 per ounce. Central bank buying and safe-haven flows provide some floor, yet the dominant near-term pressure stems from monetary policy expectations. Key catalysts this week include the September 16 FOMC decision, retail sales, and further inflation or geopolitical developments that could shift implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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