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Геополітика·світові справи

Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?

icon for Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?
Геополітика·світові справи

Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?

Jun 30

Dec 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

Так

7% шанс
Polymarket

$9,396,296 Обс.

Так

7% шанс
Polymarket

$9,396,296 Обс.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and the People’s Liberation Army through repeated high-level purges and personnel appointments that prioritize loyalty. With no designated successor elevated to the Politburo Standing Committee, analysts expect the 21st Party Congress in late 2027 to extend his leadership into a fourth term rather than mark a transition. Recent military rectifications and the removal of senior generals in early 2026 have further centralized authority under Xi ahead of the broader leadership reshuffle that begins this year. Diplomatic engagements, including his May 2026 summit with U.S. President Trump, underscore his active role in setting policy priorities. These structural factors and the absence of visible internal challenges support trader consensus that Xi will remain in office through at least the end of 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$9,396,296
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and the People’s Liberation Army through repeated high-level purges and personnel appointments that prioritize loyalty. With no designated successor elevated to the Politburo Standing Committee, analysts expect the 21st Party Congress in late 2027 to extend his leadership into a fourth term rather than mark a transition. Recent military rectifications and the removal of senior generals in early 2026 have further centralized authority under Xi ahead of the broader leadership reshuffle that begins this year. Diplomatic engagements, including his May 2026 summit with U.S. President Trump, underscore his active role in setting policy priorities. These structural factors and the absence of visible internal challenges support trader consensus that Xi will remain in office through at least the end of 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$9,396,301
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Сі Цзіньпін піде до 2027 року?» з 7%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?» згенерував $9.4 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 3, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Це відкритий ринок. Поточний лідер для «Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?» — «Сі Цзіньпін піде до 2027 року?» лише з 7%. Жоден результат не має впевненої більшості — трейдери вважають це дуже невизначеним.

Правила вирішення для «Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.