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icon for Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?

Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?

icon for Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?

Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?

Dec 31

Dec 31

Так

5% шанс
Polymarket

$12,075,431 Обс.

Так

5% шанс
Polymarket

$12,075,431 Обс.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's consolidated control over the Chinese Communist Party and absence of any designated successor or internal factional challenges underpin trader consensus that he will remain paramount leader through at least the 21st Party Congress in 2027. Recent leadership meetings and policy rollouts for the 15th Five-Year Plan period demonstrate his ongoing authority, with no reported moves toward retirement or power-sharing. While formal term norms were altered years ago, the lack of visible elite opposition or health disclosures sustains the high implied probability against an early exit. Plausible shifts could still arise from sudden illness, acute economic or security crises prompting collective pressure, or unexpected personnel changes at senior levels, though such developments remain speculative given current stability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$12,075,431
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's consolidated control over the Chinese Communist Party and absence of any designated successor or internal factional challenges underpin trader consensus that he will remain paramount leader through at least the 21st Party Congress in 2027. Recent leadership meetings and policy rollouts for the 15th Five-Year Plan period demonstrate his ongoing authority, with no reported moves toward retirement or power-sharing. While formal term norms were altered years ago, the lack of visible elite opposition or health disclosures sustains the high implied probability against an early exit. Plausible shifts could still arise from sudden illness, acute economic or security crises prompting collective pressure, or unexpected personnel changes at senior levels, though such developments remain speculative given current stability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$12,075,431
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Сі Цзіньпін піде до 2027 року?» з 5%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?» згенерував $12.1 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 3, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Це відкритий ринок. Поточний лідер для «Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?» — «Сі Цзіньпін піде до 2027 року?» лише з 5%. Жоден результат не має впевненої більшості — трейдери вважають це дуже невизначеним.

Правила вирішення для «Сі Цзіньпін вийде до 2027 року?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.