Traders overwhelmingly back no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, at 98.6% implied probability, driven by consistent reporting that the company is targeting a Q4 listing as early as October after completing major private funding rounds. Recent Series G financing at a $380 billion post-money valuation, followed by talks for a potential $30–50 billion raise at $900–950 billion, underscores its focus on scaling large language model development and enterprise adoption of Claude ahead of any public debut. This timeline aligns with typical AI startup paths from late-stage private capital to SEC filing and underwriter selection. An unexpected early S-1 submission or regulatory acceleration could still shift odds, though current preparation signals make that scenario remote before summer.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtKhông IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026 98.6%
600 tỷ+ <1%
200–300 tỷ <1%
300–400 tỷ <1%
$1,311,352 KL.
$1,311,352 KL.
Dưới 100 tỷ
<1%
100–200 tỷ
<1%
200–300 tỷ
<1%
300–400 tỷ
<1%
400–600 tỷ
<1%
600 tỷ+
1%
Không IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026
99%
Không IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026 98.6%
600 tỷ+ <1%
200–300 tỷ <1%
300–400 tỷ <1%
$1,311,352 KL.
$1,311,352 KL.
Dưới 100 tỷ
<1%
100–200 tỷ
<1%
200–300 tỷ
<1%
300–400 tỷ
<1%
400–600 tỷ
<1%
600 tỷ+
1%
Không IPO trước ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026
99%
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders overwhelmingly back no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, at 98.6% implied probability, driven by consistent reporting that the company is targeting a Q4 listing as early as October after completing major private funding rounds. Recent Series G financing at a $380 billion post-money valuation, followed by talks for a potential $30–50 billion raise at $900–950 billion, underscores its focus on scaling large language model development and enterprise adoption of Claude ahead of any public debut. This timeline aligns with typical AI startup paths from late-stage private capital to SEC filing and underwriter selection. An unexpected early S-1 submission or regulatory acceleration could still shift odds, though current preparation signals make that scenario remote before summer.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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