Ciro Gomes holds a commanding lead in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to his strong name recognition as a former governor and recent confirmation of his candidacy. On May 16, he formally launched his pre-candidacy for the PSDB, explicitly ruling out a presidential bid and signaling plans to pair with Roberto Cláudio as running mate. This move has consolidated opposition support ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent polls, including Datafolha and Quaest surveys from late April, show Ciro ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas by double-digit margins in stimulated voting scenarios, reflecting voter preference for his experience over the PT administration's record. Lower probabilities for Camilo Santana, Capitão Wagner, and Eduardo Girão align with their limited polling traction and weaker coalition momentum at this stage.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 68%
Elmano de Freitas 28%
Camilo Santana 5.1%
Eduardo Girão 2.4%
$55,551 KL.
$55,551 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
68%
Elmano de Freitas
28%
Camilo Santana
5%
Eduardo Girão
2%
Capitão Wagner
2%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 68%
Elmano de Freitas 28%
Camilo Santana 5.1%
Eduardo Girão 2.4%
$55,551 KL.
$55,551 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$36,370 KL.
68%
Elmano de Freitas
$6,390 KL.
28%
Camilo Santana
$3,305 KL.
5%
Eduardo Girão
$3,172 KL.
2%
Capitão Wagner
$4,334 KL.
2%
Roberto Cláudio
$1,980 KL.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes holds a commanding lead in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to his strong name recognition as a former governor and recent confirmation of his candidacy. On May 16, he formally launched his pre-candidacy for the PSDB, explicitly ruling out a presidential bid and signaling plans to pair with Roberto Cláudio as running mate. This move has consolidated opposition support ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent polls, including Datafolha and Quaest surveys from late April, show Ciro ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas by double-digit margins in stimulated voting scenarios, reflecting voter preference for his experience over the PT administration's record. Lower probabilities for Camilo Santana, Capitão Wagner, and Eduardo Girão align with their limited polling traction and weaker coalition momentum at this stage.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Khối lượng
$55,551Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes holds a commanding lead in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to his strong name recognition as a former governor and recent confirmation of his candidacy. On May 16, he formally launched his pre-candidacy for the PSDB, explicitly ruling out a presidential bid and signaling plans to pair with Roberto Cláudio as running mate. This move has consolidated opposition support ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent polls, including Datafolha and Quaest surveys from late April, show Ciro ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas by double-digit margins in stimulated voting scenarios, reflecting voter preference for his experience over the PT administration's record. Lower probabilities for Camilo Santana, Capitão Wagner, and Eduardo Girão align with their limited polling traction and weaker coalition momentum at this stage.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$55,551Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes holds a commanding lead in the Ceará gubernatorial race due to his strong name recognition as a former governor and recent confirmation of his candidacy. On May 16, he formally launched his pre-candidacy for the PSDB, explicitly ruling out a presidential bid and signaling plans to pair with Roberto Cláudio as running mate. This move has consolidated opposition support ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent polls, including Datafolha and Quaest surveys from late April, show Ciro ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas by double-digit margins in stimulated voting scenarios, reflecting voter preference for his experience over the PT administration's record. Lower probabilities for Camilo Santana, Capitão Wagner, and Eduardo Girão align with their limited polling traction and weaker coalition momentum at this stage.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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