Republican incumbent Jeff Crank holds a structural edge in Colorado’s 5th District, reflected in the 58.5% Republican probability. The Colorado Springs-anchored seat has delivered consistent Republican victories for decades despite a modest leftward shift in recent cycles, and Crank’s 2024 win established an incumbency advantage ahead of the June 30 primaries. Democrats have elevated the race by adding it to the DCCC’s target list, with primary front-runner Jessica Killin, an Army veteran, posting competitive internal polling and strong early fundraising. These factors create a narrow but clear Republican lead in trader consensus, with the outcome likely to hinge on unaffiliated voter turnout and primary consolidation by early summer.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCO-05 House Election Winner
Republican Party
63%
Democratic Party
42%
Republican Party
63%
Democratic Party
42%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Jeff Crank holds a structural edge in Colorado’s 5th District, reflected in the 58.5% Republican probability. The Colorado Springs-anchored seat has delivered consistent Republican victories for decades despite a modest leftward shift in recent cycles, and Crank’s 2024 win established an incumbency advantage ahead of the June 30 primaries. Democrats have elevated the race by adding it to the DCCC’s target list, with primary front-runner Jessica Killin, an Army veteran, posting competitive internal polling and strong early fundraising. These factors create a narrow but clear Republican lead in trader consensus, with the outcome likely to hinge on unaffiliated voter turnout and primary consolidation by early summer.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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