Recent polling trends have positioned Abelardo de la Espriella as the clear leader for second place in Colombia’s May 31 presidential first round, with trader consensus reflecting his consolidation of conservative support. As an independent right-wing candidate emphasizing military-led security measures and rejection of prior peace processes, de la Espriella has edged ahead of center-right rival Paloma Valencia in surveys from Invamer and others, where he trails leftist frontrunner Iván Cepeda but secures a stronger path to a June 21 runoff. Valencia’s gains among Democratic Centre voters have not closed the gap, while other contenders remain marginal. With no candidate likely reaching an outright majority, the first-round outcome hinges on right-wing vote splitting before the election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtColombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place
Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place
Abelardo de la Espriella 71%
Paloma Valencia 18%
Iván Cepeda Castro 10.6%
Claudia López <1%
$90,132 KL.
$90,132 KL.
Abelardo de la Espriella
71%
Paloma Valencia
18%
Iván Cepeda Castro
11%
Claudia López
<1%
Sergio Fajardo
<1%
Germán Vargas Lleras
<1%
Gustavo Bolívar
<1%
Juan Manuel Galán
<1%
Roy Barreras
<1%
Juan Carlos Pinzón
<1%
Enrique Peñalosa
<1%
Vicky Dávila
<1%
David Luna Sánchez
<1%
Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%
Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%
Daniel Quintero
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella 71%
Paloma Valencia 18%
Iván Cepeda Castro 10.6%
Claudia López <1%
$90,132 KL.
$90,132 KL.
Abelardo de la Espriella
71%
Paloma Valencia
18%
Iván Cepeda Castro
11%
Claudia López
<1%
Sergio Fajardo
<1%
Germán Vargas Lleras
<1%
Gustavo Bolívar
<1%
Juan Manuel Galán
<1%
Roy Barreras
<1%
Juan Carlos Pinzón
<1%
Enrique Peñalosa
<1%
Vicky Dávila
<1%
David Luna Sánchez
<1%
Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%
Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%
Daniel Quintero
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Thị trường mở: Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends have positioned Abelardo de la Espriella as the clear leader for second place in Colombia’s May 31 presidential first round, with trader consensus reflecting his consolidation of conservative support. As an independent right-wing candidate emphasizing military-led security measures and rejection of prior peace processes, de la Espriella has edged ahead of center-right rival Paloma Valencia in surveys from Invamer and others, where he trails leftist frontrunner Iván Cepeda but secures a stronger path to a June 21 runoff. Valencia’s gains among Democratic Centre voters have not closed the gap, while other contenders remain marginal. With no candidate likely reaching an outright majority, the first-round outcome hinges on right-wing vote splitting before the election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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