Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and regional models indicate a daytime high near 10–12°C for Buenos Aires on August 24 under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This aligns with late-winter climatology, when average maxima hover around 12–14°C amid stable high pressure and limited insolation. Model consensus shows minimal diurnal warming due to onshore winds and persistent cloud cover, keeping peaks from exceeding 13°C while making sub-11°C outcomes less likely. Trader positioning around the 12–13°C bin reflects the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance, with only modest upside risk from any unexpected clearing or northerly shift. Updated runs from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24?
13°C 47%
12°C 27%
14°C 16%
11°C 9%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
5%
11°C
9%
12°C
27%
13°C
47%
14°C
16%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 47%
12°C 27%
14°C 16%
11°C 9%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
5%
11°C
9%
12°C
27%
13°C
47%
14°C
16%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and regional models indicate a daytime high near 10–12°C for Buenos Aires on August 24 under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This aligns with late-winter climatology, when average maxima hover around 12–14°C amid stable high pressure and limited insolation. Model consensus shows minimal diurnal warming due to onshore winds and persistent cloud cover, keeping peaks from exceeding 13°C while making sub-11°C outcomes less likely. Trader positioning around the 12–13°C bin reflects the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance, with only modest upside risk from any unexpected clearing or northerly shift. Updated runs from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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