Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of 15°C on May 13, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This matched pre-event SMN forecasts of mild autumn conditions under partly cloudy skies and a cool air mass from the south, which capped daytime heating below the seasonal average high of around 18°C. Persistent cloud cover and light winds limited solar insolation, preventing any surge toward 16°C or higher. While final data validation is routine, a realistic challenge would require evidence of sensor malfunction or overlooked peak readings during quality control review, though such revisions are exceedingly rare for established stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 13?
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$61,365 KL.
$61,365 KL.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$61,365 KL.
$61,365 KL.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm Buenos Aires reached a maximum temperature of 15°C on May 13, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This matched pre-event SMN forecasts of mild autumn conditions under partly cloudy skies and a cool air mass from the south, which capped daytime heating below the seasonal average high of around 18°C. Persistent cloud cover and light winds limited solar insolation, preventing any surge toward 16°C or higher. While final data validation is routine, a realistic challenge would require evidence of sensor malfunction or overlooked peak readings during quality control review, though such revisions are exceedingly rare for established stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp