Trader consensus has converged on a 29°C daily maximum for Chengdu on June 12 due to real-time surface observations and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration showing peak temperatures stabilizing near this threshold under prevailing subtropical high pressure and moderate humidity. June climatology supports this range, with typical highs of 28–30°C amid the early monsoon transition, and current steering patterns limit stronger advection of warmer air masses. Official station data, which resolve the market, are expected to confirm this value barring minor calibration adjustments. Unlikely challengers include localized convective heating or station-specific microclimate effects that could push readings to 30°C or higher, though model ensembles currently assign low probability to such deviations before resolution.