Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Houston on August 15 points to a high in the mid-90s, with 96–97 °F emerging as the most probable outcome under persistent late-summer southerly flow off the Gulf, high dew points, and mostly sunny conditions. August climatology favors daily maxima near 94–95 °F, and recent model runs show only modest afternoon sea-breeze moderation without incoming fronts or tropical influences that would push readings to 100 °F or drop them below 94 °F. Trader consensus around the 96–97 °F bin (48.5 % implied) and 94–95 °F bin (32.5 %) therefore reflects alignment between these official forecasts, historical baselines, and limited short-term variability expected before final model updates overnight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Houston on August 15?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 15?
96-97°F 49%
94-95°F 32%
98-99°F 16%
92-93°F 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 15, 2026
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
32%
96-97°F
49%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 49%
94-95°F 32%
98-99°F 16%
92-93°F 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 15, 2026
85°F or below
$170 KL.
<1%
86-87°F
$308 KL.
<1%
88-89°F
$422 KL.
<1%
90-91°F
$294 KL.
1%
92-93°F
$372 KL.
3%
94-95°F
$701 KL.
32%
96-97°F
$2,770 KL.
49%
98-99°F
$614 KL.
16%
100-101°F
$226 KL.
3%
102-103°F
$405 KL.
<1%
104°F or higher
$537 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Houston on August 15 points to a high in the mid-90s, with 96–97 °F emerging as the most probable outcome under persistent late-summer southerly flow off the Gulf, high dew points, and mostly sunny conditions. August climatology favors daily maxima near 94–95 °F, and recent model runs show only modest afternoon sea-breeze moderation without incoming fronts or tropical influences that would push readings to 100 °F or drop them below 94 °F. Trader consensus around the 96–97 °F bin (48.5 % implied) and 94–95 °F bin (32.5 %) therefore reflects alignment between these official forecasts, historical baselines, and limited short-term variability expected before final model updates overnight.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,821Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Houston on August 15 points to a high in the mid-90s, with 96–97 °F emerging as the most probable outcome under persistent late-summer southerly flow off the Gulf, high dew points, and mostly sunny conditions. August climatology favors daily maxima near 94–95 °F, and recent model runs show only modest afternoon sea-breeze moderation without incoming fronts or tropical influences that would push readings to 100 °F or drop them below 94 °F. Trader consensus around the 96–97 °F bin (48.5 % implied) and 94–95 °F bin (32.5 %) therefore reflects alignment between these official forecasts, historical baselines, and limited short-term variability expected before final model updates overnight.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$6,821Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Houston on August 15 points to a high in the mid-90s, with 96–97 °F emerging as the most probable outcome under persistent late-summer southerly flow off the Gulf, high dew points, and mostly sunny conditions. August climatology favors daily maxima near 94–95 °F, and recent model runs show only modest afternoon sea-breeze moderation without incoming fronts or tropical influences that would push readings to 100 °F or drop them below 94 °F. Trader consensus around the 96–97 °F bin (48.5 % implied) and 94–95 °F bin (32.5 %) therefore reflects alignment between these official forecasts, historical baselines, and limited short-term variability expected before final model updates overnight.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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