Traders are focusing on short-range model consensus for Jeddah’s maximum temperature on June 16, where coastal Red Sea moderation and strong subsidence under clear skies typically yield highs near the 36–39 °C climatological range. Recent forecasts show slight spread, with some guidance indicating 36–38 °C amid moderate northwesterly flow while others allow brief warming to 39–40 °C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens. Low precipitation probability and very high solar insolation favor the upper end of the distribution, yet the narrow margin between 37 °C, 38 °C, and 39 °C outcomes reflects model sensitivity to small shifts in wind speed and humidity. Updated runs from official agencies over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jeddah on June 16?
38°C 35%
39°C 23%
37°C 22%
40°C or higher 15%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
4%
37°C
22%
38°C
31%
39°C
23%
40°C or higher
15%
38°C 35%
39°C 23%
37°C 22%
40°C or higher 15%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
4%
37°C
22%
38°C
31%
39°C
23%
40°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are focusing on short-range model consensus for Jeddah’s maximum temperature on June 16, where coastal Red Sea moderation and strong subsidence under clear skies typically yield highs near the 36–39 °C climatological range. Recent forecasts show slight spread, with some guidance indicating 36–38 °C amid moderate northwesterly flow while others allow brief warming to 39–40 °C if boundary-layer mixing strengthens. Low precipitation probability and very high solar insolation favor the upper end of the distribution, yet the narrow margin between 37 °C, 38 °C, and 39 °C outcomes reflects model sensitivity to small shifts in wind speed and humidity. Updated runs from official agencies over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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