Recent forecast consensus from multiple models positions 38°C as the leading outcome for Jeddah’s September 2 high, with trader-implied odds at 40.5% reflecting expectations of peak values near the upper end of the 36–38°C range. Typical late-summer conditions along the Red Sea coast, including clear skies, light northwest winds, and high humidity, sustain elevated daytime temperatures close to the seasonal average of 36–37°C. Short-range guidance shows little model spread or disruptive atmospheric features through the period, supporting the concentration of probability on 37–38°C outcomes while leaving room for minor revisions from updated runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 2?
38°C 39%
37°C 33%
40°C or higher 18%
36°C 14%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
5%
35°C
7%
36°C
14%
37°C
33%
38°C
39%
39°C
12%
40°C or higher
18%
38°C 39%
37°C 33%
40°C or higher 18%
36°C 14%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
5%
35°C
7%
36°C
14%
37°C
33%
38°C
39%
39°C
12%
40°C or higher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple models positions 38°C as the leading outcome for Jeddah’s September 2 high, with trader-implied odds at 40.5% reflecting expectations of peak values near the upper end of the 36–38°C range. Typical late-summer conditions along the Red Sea coast, including clear skies, light northwest winds, and high humidity, sustain elevated daytime temperatures close to the seasonal average of 36–37°C. Short-range guidance shows little model spread or disruptive atmospheric features through the period, supporting the concentration of probability on 37–38°C outcomes while leaving room for minor revisions from updated runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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