**Forecast consensus from multiple models, including GFS and regional guidance, points to a daytime high near 30–32°C in Jinan on August 30, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and low precipitation chances.** This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 30–31°C and recent days have featured similar readings amid humid subtropical conditions. The 97.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects strong agreement across official forecasts and historical baselines, with only narrow uncertainty bands in numerical weather prediction. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold surge or significant model bias, though current steering patterns and short-range guidance make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jinan on August 30?
26°C or higher 98%
24°C 3%
25°C 2%
16°C or below <1%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
98%
26°C or higher 98%
24°C 3%
25°C 2%
16°C or below <1%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models, including GFS and regional guidance, points to a daytime high near 30–32°C in Jinan on August 30, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and low precipitation chances.** This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 30–31°C and recent days have featured similar readings amid humid subtropical conditions. The 97.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects strong agreement across official forecasts and historical baselines, with only narrow uncertainty bands in numerical weather prediction. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold surge or significant model bias, though current steering patterns and short-range guidance make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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