UK Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C for London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, establishing the strong scientific basis for the market’s near-certain pricing of that outcome. Official guidance highlights stable atmospheric conditions with limited warm advection and no significant clearing expected to boost surface heating. Minor afternoon breaks in cloud cover or localized shifts in wind direction could still nudge readings to 19°C, though model consensus keeps the probability of 20°C or higher negligible given current sea-surface temperatures and regional pressure patterns. Traders monitoring real-time observations can watch for any late-day revisions in the next Met Office update.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on May 17?
Highest temperature in London on May 17?
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C or higher <1%
$171,943 KL.
$171,943 KL.
May 17, 2026
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C or higher <1%
$171,943 KL.
$171,943 KL.
May 17, 2026
18°C
$20,639 KL.
100%
19°C
$19,980 KL.
<1%
20°C or higher
$6,601 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.UK Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C for London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, establishing the strong scientific basis for the market’s near-certain pricing of that outcome. Official guidance highlights stable atmospheric conditions with limited warm advection and no significant clearing expected to boost surface heating. Minor afternoon breaks in cloud cover or localized shifts in wind direction could still nudge readings to 19°C, though model consensus keeps the probability of 20°C or higher negligible given current sea-surface temperatures and regional pressure patterns. Traders monitoring real-time observations can watch for any late-day revisions in the next Met Office update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$171,943Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.UK Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C for London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, establishing the strong scientific basis for the market’s near-certain pricing of that outcome. Official guidance highlights stable atmospheric conditions with limited warm advection and no significant clearing expected to boost surface heating. Minor afternoon breaks in cloud cover or localized shifts in wind direction could still nudge readings to 19°C, though model consensus keeps the probability of 20°C or higher negligible given current sea-surface temperatures and regional pressure patterns. Traders monitoring real-time observations can watch for any late-day revisions in the next Met Office update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$171,943Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCUK Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C for London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, establishing the strong scientific basis for the market’s near-certain pricing of that outcome. Official guidance highlights stable atmospheric conditions with limited warm advection and no significant clearing expected to boost surface heating. Minor afternoon breaks in cloud cover or localized shifts in wind direction could still nudge readings to 19°C, though model consensus keeps the probability of 20°C or higher negligible given current sea-surface temperatures and regional pressure patterns. Traders monitoring real-time observations can watch for any late-day revisions in the next Met Office update.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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