Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s maximum temperature on May 18 between 14 °C and 16 °C under an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system that brings variable cloud, light winds, and a chance of patchy showers. These model runs, updated within the past 24 hours, align with climatological norms for mid-May and explain why the market assigns the highest implied probability to 15 °C, followed closely by 16 °C and 14 °C. Guidance through the evening of May 17 shows limited further warming potential, while any strengthening of onshore flow or clearer skies could nudge the high toward the upper end of the favored range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on May 18?
Highest temperature in London on May 18?
15°C 43%
16°C 28%
14°C 21%
17°C 5.6%
MỚI
$41,699 KL.
MỚI
$41,699 KL.
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
21%
15°C
43%
16°C
28%
17°C
6%
18°C or higher
1%
15°C 43%
16°C 28%
14°C 21%
17°C 5.6%
MỚI
$41,699 KL.
MỚI
$41,699 KL.
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
$1,891 KL.
<1%
9°C
$6,300 KL.
<1%
10°C
$1,833 KL.
<1%
11°C
$1,563 KL.
<1%
12°C
$3,050 KL.
1%
13°C
$4,593 KL.
4%
14°C
$3,520 KL.
21%
15°C
$3,933 KL.
43%
16°C
$5,136 KL.
28%
17°C
$4,199 KL.
6%
18°C or higher
$5,699 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s maximum temperature on May 18 between 14 °C and 16 °C under an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system that brings variable cloud, light winds, and a chance of patchy showers. These model runs, updated within the past 24 hours, align with climatological norms for mid-May and explain why the market assigns the highest implied probability to 15 °C, followed closely by 16 °C and 14 °C. Guidance through the evening of May 17 shows limited further warming potential, while any strengthening of onshore flow or clearer skies could nudge the high toward the upper end of the favored range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$41,699Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s maximum temperature on May 18 between 14 °C and 16 °C under an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system that brings variable cloud, light winds, and a chance of patchy showers. These model runs, updated within the past 24 hours, align with climatological norms for mid-May and explain why the market assigns the highest implied probability to 15 °C, followed closely by 16 °C and 14 °C. Guidance through the evening of May 17 shows limited further warming potential, while any strengthening of onshore flow or clearer skies could nudge the high toward the upper end of the favored range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$41,699Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London’s maximum temperature on May 18 between 14 °C and 16 °C under an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system that brings variable cloud, light winds, and a chance of patchy showers. These model runs, updated within the past 24 hours, align with climatological norms for mid-May and explain why the market assigns the highest implied probability to 15 °C, followed closely by 16 °C and 14 °C. Guidance through the evening of May 17 shows limited further warming potential, while any strengthening of onshore flow or clearer skies could nudge the high toward the upper end of the favored range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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