Persistent monsoon conditions across Uttar Pradesh, including official heavy rain and thunderstorm alerts through September 3, are capping daytime heating in Lucknow through widespread cloud cover and frequent showers that limit solar insolation. Multiple forecast models show afternoon highs clustered near 29–31 °C, with localized convection and easterly winds further moderating peaks; any break in cloudiness or delayed rainfall could allow brief warming toward 32 °C, while sustained storms would favor the lower end near 29 °C. High humidity near 85–95 % and dew points around 25–27 °C add little additional warming once clouds dominate. Trader consensus on 30–31 °C reflects this narrow range of outcomes amid typical early-September monsoon variability, with resolution hinging on the exact timing of convective activity observed by the India Meteorological Department.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 3?
30°C 39%
31°C 34%
32°C 14%
29°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
8%
29°C
11%
30°C
39%
31°C
34%
32°C
22%
33°C or higher
10%
30°C 39%
31°C 34%
32°C 14%
29°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
8%
29°C
11%
30°C
39%
31°C
34%
32°C
22%
33°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon conditions across Uttar Pradesh, including official heavy rain and thunderstorm alerts through September 3, are capping daytime heating in Lucknow through widespread cloud cover and frequent showers that limit solar insolation. Multiple forecast models show afternoon highs clustered near 29–31 °C, with localized convection and easterly winds further moderating peaks; any break in cloudiness or delayed rainfall could allow brief warming toward 32 °C, while sustained storms would favor the lower end near 29 °C. High humidity near 85–95 % and dew points around 25–27 °C add little additional warming once clouds dominate. Trader consensus on 30–31 °C reflects this narrow range of outcomes amid typical early-September monsoon variability, with resolution hinging on the exact timing of convective activity observed by the India Meteorological Department.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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