Recent forecasts for Lucknow point to a minimum temperature near 25°C on September 3 amid lingering monsoon moisture, with patchy rain and cloud cover expected to moderate overnight cooling. This setup explains the closely matched market-implied odds across 24–27°C outcomes, as convective activity and humidity can suppress radiative cooling while steering patterns determine whether clearer skies allow temperatures to dip toward the 21°C threshold or remain higher. Historical September lows average 24–26°C, but daily variability from precipitation and wind shifts creates genuine uncertainty in the final minimum reading used for market resolution. Traders are closely watching the next official India Meteorological Department updates and short-range model consensus for any shifts in rainfall timing or intensity.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 3?
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 59%
23°C 48%
26°C 30%
21°C or below
69%
22°C
19%
23°C
48%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
30%
27°C
30%
28°C
5%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
59%
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 59%
23°C 48%
26°C 30%
21°C or below
69%
22°C
19%
23°C
48%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
30%
27°C
30%
28°C
5%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Lucknow point to a minimum temperature near 25°C on September 3 amid lingering monsoon moisture, with patchy rain and cloud cover expected to moderate overnight cooling. This setup explains the closely matched market-implied odds across 24–27°C outcomes, as convective activity and humidity can suppress radiative cooling while steering patterns determine whether clearer skies allow temperatures to dip toward the 21°C threshold or remain higher. Historical September lows average 24–26°C, but daily variability from precipitation and wind shifts creates genuine uncertainty in the final minimum reading used for market resolution. Traders are closely watching the next official India Meteorological Department updates and short-range model consensus for any shifts in rainfall timing or intensity.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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