Recent official forecasts from PAGASA indicate Metro Manila highs of 33–34°C on June 15 amid easterlies and localized thunderstorms, aligning with June climatology of roughly 32°C average daily maxima and very high humidity. Trader consensus clusters on 33°C as the mode because short-range models show limited intensification potential from the current setup, with rain chances around 40% likely to cap extremes rather than suppress peaks entirely. Recent observations of 32–33°C maxima support this positioning, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ reflect the low likelihood of clear-sky conditions or stronger subsidence needed for notable warming. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on June 15?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 15?
33°C 45%
32°C 24%
34°C 22%
35°C 4.4%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 15, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
24%
33°C
45%
34°C
22%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 45%
32°C 24%
34°C 22%
35°C 4.4%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 15, 2026
28°C or below
$677 KL.
<1%
29°C
$232 KL.
<1%
30°C
$221 KL.
1%
31°C
$555 KL.
2%
32°C
$293 KL.
24%
33°C
$234 KL.
45%
34°C
$865 KL.
22%
35°C
$492 KL.
4%
36°C
$184 KL.
1%
37°C
$105 KL.
<1%
38°C or higher
$46 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from PAGASA indicate Metro Manila highs of 33–34°C on June 15 amid easterlies and localized thunderstorms, aligning with June climatology of roughly 32°C average daily maxima and very high humidity. Trader consensus clusters on 33°C as the mode because short-range models show limited intensification potential from the current setup, with rain chances around 40% likely to cap extremes rather than suppress peaks entirely. Recent observations of 32–33°C maxima support this positioning, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ reflect the low likelihood of clear-sky conditions or stronger subsidence needed for notable warming. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,895Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from PAGASA indicate Metro Manila highs of 33–34°C on June 15 amid easterlies and localized thunderstorms, aligning with June climatology of roughly 32°C average daily maxima and very high humidity. Trader consensus clusters on 33°C as the mode because short-range models show limited intensification potential from the current setup, with rain chances around 40% likely to cap extremes rather than suppress peaks entirely. Recent observations of 32–33°C maxima support this positioning, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ reflect the low likelihood of clear-sky conditions or stronger subsidence needed for notable warming. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,895Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from PAGASA indicate Metro Manila highs of 33–34°C on June 15 amid easterlies and localized thunderstorms, aligning with June climatology of roughly 32°C average daily maxima and very high humidity. Trader consensus clusters on 33°C as the mode because short-range models show limited intensification potential from the current setup, with rain chances around 40% likely to cap extremes rather than suppress peaks entirely. Recent observations of 32–33°C maxima support this positioning, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ reflect the low likelihood of clear-sky conditions or stronger subsidence needed for notable warming. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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