Recent numerical weather model consensus positions Mexico City's daily maximum near 26°C amid typical rainy-season patterns at its 2,240-meter elevation. August climatology features average highs around 24°C moderated by altitude and frequent afternoon convection that limits peak temperatures through cloud cover and showers. Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Ventusky align with 25–27°C outcomes, explaining the market's heavy weighting on 26°C (60.5% implied probability) over 25°C (19.5%) and 27°C (15.0%). No anomalous heat or dry conditions have shifted model runs recently, keeping higher thresholds like 28°C at just 3.5%. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations will determine resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 15?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 15?
26°C 61%
25°C 20%
27°C 16%
28°C 4%
$7,635 KL.
$7,635 KL.
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
20%
26°C
61%
27°C
16%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 61%
25°C 20%
27°C 16%
28°C 4%
$7,635 KL.
$7,635 KL.
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
$508 KL.
<1%
21°C
$220 KL.
<1%
22°C
$245 KL.
1%
23°C
$457 KL.
1%
24°C
$1,052 KL.
3%
25°C
$549 KL.
20%
26°C
$1,004 KL.
61%
27°C
$2,446 KL.
16%
28°C
$423 KL.
4%
29°C
$302 KL.
1%
30°C or higher
$485 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus positions Mexico City's daily maximum near 26°C amid typical rainy-season patterns at its 2,240-meter elevation. August climatology features average highs around 24°C moderated by altitude and frequent afternoon convection that limits peak temperatures through cloud cover and showers. Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Ventusky align with 25–27°C outcomes, explaining the market's heavy weighting on 26°C (60.5% implied probability) over 25°C (19.5%) and 27°C (15.0%). No anomalous heat or dry conditions have shifted model runs recently, keeping higher thresholds like 28°C at just 3.5%. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations will determine resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7,635Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus positions Mexico City's daily maximum near 26°C amid typical rainy-season patterns at its 2,240-meter elevation. August climatology features average highs around 24°C moderated by altitude and frequent afternoon convection that limits peak temperatures through cloud cover and showers. Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Ventusky align with 25–27°C outcomes, explaining the market's heavy weighting on 26°C (60.5% implied probability) over 25°C (19.5%) and 27°C (15.0%). No anomalous heat or dry conditions have shifted model runs recently, keeping higher thresholds like 28°C at just 3.5%. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations will determine resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$7,635Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus positions Mexico City's daily maximum near 26°C amid typical rainy-season patterns at its 2,240-meter elevation. August climatology features average highs around 24°C moderated by altitude and frequent afternoon convection that limits peak temperatures through cloud cover and showers. Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Ventusky align with 25–27°C outcomes, explaining the market's heavy weighting on 26°C (60.5% implied probability) over 25°C (19.5%) and 27°C (15.0%). No anomalous heat or dry conditions have shifted model runs recently, keeping higher thresholds like 28°C at just 3.5%. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations will determine resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp