Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models show mostly cloudy skies with light winds over Paris today, limiting solar heating and keeping the daily maximum centered on 15–16°C. Persistent cloud cover reduces incoming shortwave radiation, while minimal advection of warmer air masses from the south suppresses peak readings below the long-term May average of roughly 18°C. Model consensus remains tight, with minor differences in timing of any partial clearing creating the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes. Official observations from Paris-Montsouris will determine the exact high by midnight local time, with any late-day sunshine the primary variable that could shift the result.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on May 17?
16°C 47%
15°C 39%
17°C 13%
14°C 4.3%
$59,896 KL.
$59,896 KL.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
39%
16°C
47%
17°C
13%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 47%
15°C 39%
17°C 13%
14°C 4.3%
$59,896 KL.
$59,896 KL.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
39%
16°C
47%
17°C
13%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models show mostly cloudy skies with light winds over Paris today, limiting solar heating and keeping the daily maximum centered on 15–16°C. Persistent cloud cover reduces incoming shortwave radiation, while minimal advection of warmer air masses from the south suppresses peak readings below the long-term May average of roughly 18°C. Model consensus remains tight, with minor differences in timing of any partial clearing creating the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes. Official observations from Paris-Montsouris will determine the exact high by midnight local time, with any late-day sunshine the primary variable that could shift the result.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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