Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high near 68–70°F for San Francisco on September 5, consistent with the market’s leading 70–71°F bin at 44% implied probability. Persistent onshore westerly flow and a lingering marine layer following the early-September cold front have suppressed daytime heating, keeping readings close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 70°F. Light winds, possible patchy fog or low stratus at the coast, and sea-surface temperatures in the mid-50s further limit afternoon warming. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest upside risk to the low 70s if breaks of sun develop earlier than expected.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 5?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 5?
70-71°F 44%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 22%
66-67°F 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
44%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
4%
78°F or higher
4%
70-71°F 44%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 22%
66-67°F 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
59°F or below
$0 KL.
1%
60-61°F
$251 KL.
<1%
62-63°F
$0 KL.
4%
64-65°F
$0 KL.
6%
66-67°F
$0 KL.
15%
68-69°F
$54 KL.
22%
70-71°F
$249 KL.
44%
72-73°F
$405 KL.
28%
74-75°F
$0 KL.
6%
76-77°F
$0 KL.
4%
78°F or higher
$0 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high near 68–70°F for San Francisco on September 5, consistent with the market’s leading 70–71°F bin at 44% implied probability. Persistent onshore westerly flow and a lingering marine layer following the early-September cold front have suppressed daytime heating, keeping readings close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 70°F. Light winds, possible patchy fog or low stratus at the coast, and sea-surface temperatures in the mid-50s further limit afternoon warming. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest upside risk to the low 70s if breaks of sun develop earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$958Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 7:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high near 68–70°F for San Francisco on September 5, consistent with the market’s leading 70–71°F bin at 44% implied probability. Persistent onshore westerly flow and a lingering marine layer following the early-September cold front have suppressed daytime heating, keeping readings close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 70°F. Light winds, possible patchy fog or low stratus at the coast, and sea-surface temperatures in the mid-50s further limit afternoon warming. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest upside risk to the low 70s if breaks of sun develop earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$958Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 7:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high near 68–70°F for San Francisco on September 5, consistent with the market’s leading 70–71°F bin at 44% implied probability. Persistent onshore westerly flow and a lingering marine layer following the early-September cold front have suppressed daytime heating, keeping readings close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 70°F. Light winds, possible patchy fog or low stratus at the coast, and sea-surface temperatures in the mid-50s further limit afternoon warming. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest upside risk to the low 70s if breaks of sun develop earlier than expected.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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