Recent model consensus from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate points to a maximum of 17–19°C in São Paulo on August 24, driven by persistent wintertime subsidence, moderate southeasterly flow off the Atlantic, and limited daytime heating at the city’s ~760 m elevation. This keeps trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 19–21°C, as small differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or the exact timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August normals near 24°C reflect stronger subtropical ridging; current cooler guidance aligns with observed polar air intrusions that have suppressed temperatures this week. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs tonight will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 24?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 24?
20°C 29%
21°C 22%
19°C 22%
22°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
8%
19°C
22%
20°C
29%
21°C
22%
22°C
11%
23°C
5%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 29%
21°C 22%
19°C 22%
22°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
$38 KL.
<1%
16°C
$43 KL.
1%
17°C
$38 KL.
2%
18°C
$210 KL.
8%
19°C
$1,092 KL.
22%
20°C
$320 KL.
29%
21°C
$307 KL.
22%
22°C
$409 KL.
11%
23°C
$252 KL.
5%
24°C
$230 KL.
3%
25°C or higher
$53 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate points to a maximum of 17–19°C in São Paulo on August 24, driven by persistent wintertime subsidence, moderate southeasterly flow off the Atlantic, and limited daytime heating at the city’s ~760 m elevation. This keeps trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 19–21°C, as small differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or the exact timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August normals near 24°C reflect stronger subtropical ridging; current cooler guidance aligns with observed polar air intrusions that have suppressed temperatures this week. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs tonight will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,994Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate points to a maximum of 17–19°C in São Paulo on August 24, driven by persistent wintertime subsidence, moderate southeasterly flow off the Atlantic, and limited daytime heating at the city’s ~760 m elevation. This keeps trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 19–21°C, as small differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or the exact timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August normals near 24°C reflect stronger subtropical ridging; current cooler guidance aligns with observed polar air intrusions that have suppressed temperatures this week. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs tonight will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,994Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate points to a maximum of 17–19°C in São Paulo on August 24, driven by persistent wintertime subsidence, moderate southeasterly flow off the Atlantic, and limited daytime heating at the city’s ~760 m elevation. This keeps trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 19–21°C, as small differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or the exact timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August normals near 24°C reflect stronger subtropical ridging; current cooler guidance aligns with observed polar air intrusions that have suppressed temperatures this week. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs tonight will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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