Recent cold fronts advecting polar air masses southward have lowered overnight minima across southeastern Brazil, with INMET observations and ensemble model runs (GFS/ECMWF) placing São Paulo’s August 24 low near 12–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Radiative cooling after sunset and the strength of the inversion layer remain the dominant variables, while above-average seasonal guidance from INMET tempers expectations of deeper chill. Urban heat-island effects at official stations add further uncertainty, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between the 13 °C and 19 °C+ bins and underscoring the narrow margin between forecast scenarios.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 24?
19°C or higher 61%
18°C 40%
13°C 33%
14°C 31%
9°C or below
30%
10°C
23%
11°C
22%
12°C
25%
13°C
33%
14°C
31%
15°C
28%
16°C
21%
17°C
26%
18°C
40%
19°C or higher
61%
19°C or higher 61%
18°C 40%
13°C 33%
14°C 31%
9°C or below
30%
10°C
23%
11°C
22%
12°C
25%
13°C
33%
14°C
31%
15°C
28%
16°C
21%
17°C
26%
18°C
40%
19°C or higher
61%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold fronts advecting polar air masses southward have lowered overnight minima across southeastern Brazil, with INMET observations and ensemble model runs (GFS/ECMWF) placing São Paulo’s August 24 low near 12–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Radiative cooling after sunset and the strength of the inversion layer remain the dominant variables, while above-average seasonal guidance from INMET tempers expectations of deeper chill. Urban heat-island effects at official stations add further uncertainty, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered between the 13 °C and 19 °C+ bins and underscoring the narrow margin between forecast scenarios.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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