Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Shanghai’s daily maximum on May 18 will most likely peak near 27°C, driving the 34.5% market-implied probability for that outcome and the secondary support for 26°C and 28°C. Mid-May climatology in the Yangtze River Delta typically produces highs of 24–27°C, placing current projections squarely within seasonal norms yet sensitive to minor shifts in steering flow or cloud cover. Official China Meteorological Administration observations and any final model runs issued in the next 24 hours will determine resolution, with traders weighting real-time data over longer-range uncertainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 18?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 18?
27°C 35%
28°C 24%
26°C 22%
29°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
22%
27°C
35%
28°C
24%
29°C
12%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 35%
28°C 24%
26°C 22%
29°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
$869 KL.
<1%
22°C
$499 KL.
<1%
23°C
$699 KL.
1%
24°C
$999 KL.
3%
25°C
$1,093 KL.
9%
26°C
$685 KL.
22%
27°C
$390 KL.
35%
28°C
$632 KL.
24%
29°C
$744 KL.
12%
30°C
$471 KL.
3%
31°C or higher
$744 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Shanghai’s daily maximum on May 18 will most likely peak near 27°C, driving the 34.5% market-implied probability for that outcome and the secondary support for 26°C and 28°C. Mid-May climatology in the Yangtze River Delta typically produces highs of 24–27°C, placing current projections squarely within seasonal norms yet sensitive to minor shifts in steering flow or cloud cover. Official China Meteorological Administration observations and any final model runs issued in the next 24 hours will determine resolution, with traders weighting real-time data over longer-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,825Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Shanghai’s daily maximum on May 18 will most likely peak near 27°C, driving the 34.5% market-implied probability for that outcome and the secondary support for 26°C and 28°C. Mid-May climatology in the Yangtze River Delta typically produces highs of 24–27°C, placing current projections squarely within seasonal norms yet sensitive to minor shifts in steering flow or cloud cover. Official China Meteorological Administration observations and any final model runs issued in the next 24 hours will determine resolution, with traders weighting real-time data over longer-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$7,825Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDLatest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Shanghai’s daily maximum on May 18 will most likely peak near 27°C, driving the 34.5% market-implied probability for that outcome and the secondary support for 26°C and 28°C. Mid-May climatology in the Yangtze River Delta typically produces highs of 24–27°C, placing current projections squarely within seasonal norms yet sensitive to minor shifts in steering flow or cloud cover. Official China Meteorological Administration observations and any final model runs issued in the next 24 hours will determine resolution, with traders weighting real-time data over longer-range uncertainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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