Current forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Istanbul’s May 19 daytime maximum will likely peak between 20°C and 22°C, aligning with the mid-May climatological average of 20–23°C derived from long-term station records. This consensus, shaped by moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover, underpins the closely matched trader probabilities for 20°C, 21°C, and 22°C. Local factors such as variable Marmara Sea breezes or brief convective clouds could shift the official high by 1–2°C, introducing the observed uncertainty among adjacent outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours and final observations from Istanbul Airport will provide the decisive data for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 19?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 19?
22°C 24%
21°C 22%
19°C 14%
20°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
May 19, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
14%
20°C
13%
21°C
27%
22°C
28%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
2%
22°C 24%
21°C 22%
19°C 14%
20°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
May 19, 2026
16°C or below
$55 KL.
<1%
17°C
$226 KL.
1%
18°C
$32 KL.
1%
19°C
$46 KL.
14%
20°C
$16 KL.
13%
21°C
$17 KL.
27%
22°C
$18 KL.
28%
23°C
$156 KL.
4%
24°C
$206 KL.
5%
25°C
$48 KL.
3%
26°C or higher
$48 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Istanbul’s May 19 daytime maximum will likely peak between 20°C and 22°C, aligning with the mid-May climatological average of 20–23°C derived from long-term station records. This consensus, shaped by moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover, underpins the closely matched trader probabilities for 20°C, 21°C, and 22°C. Local factors such as variable Marmara Sea breezes or brief convective clouds could shift the official high by 1–2°C, introducing the observed uncertainty among adjacent outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours and final observations from Istanbul Airport will provide the decisive data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$852Ngày kết thúc
May 19, 2026Thị trường mở
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Istanbul’s May 19 daytime maximum will likely peak between 20°C and 22°C, aligning with the mid-May climatological average of 20–23°C derived from long-term station records. This consensus, shaped by moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover, underpins the closely matched trader probabilities for 20°C, 21°C, and 22°C. Local factors such as variable Marmara Sea breezes or brief convective clouds could shift the official high by 1–2°C, introducing the observed uncertainty among adjacent outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours and final observations from Istanbul Airport will provide the decisive data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$852Ngày kết thúc
May 19, 2026Thị trường mở
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Istanbul’s May 19 daytime maximum will likely peak between 20°C and 22°C, aligning with the mid-May climatological average of 20–23°C derived from long-term station records. This consensus, shaped by moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover, underpins the closely matched trader probabilities for 20°C, 21°C, and 22°C. Local factors such as variable Marmara Sea breezes or brief convective clouds could shift the official high by 1–2°C, introducing the observed uncertainty among adjacent outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours and final observations from Istanbul Airport will provide the decisive data for resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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