Recent meteorological forecasts and observational data from agencies monitoring subtropical South China indicate daytime highs in Shenzhen are tracking toward a peak of 36°C on August 13, driven by persistent high humidity, weak steering winds, and afternoon convective heating typical of the region's midsummer monsoon influence. This aligns with climatological baselines where August averages near 32°C but frequently spikes several degrees higher under clear or partly cloudy skies with minimal rain cooling. Trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability for 36°C reflects aggregated real-capital assessment of model runs and early-day readings, though realistic challenges include stronger afternoon thunderstorms, unexpected cloud cover, or slight downward revisions in official station maxima that could favor 34–35°C outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 13?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 13?
36°C 99.6%
37°C <1%
38°C or higher <1%
35°C <1%
$57,737 KL.
$57,737 KL.
Aug 13, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
36°C 99.6%
37°C <1%
38°C or higher <1%
35°C <1%
$57,737 KL.
$57,737 KL.
Aug 13, 2026
28°C or below
$1,387 KL.
<1%
29°C
$1,012 KL.
<1%
30°C
$837 KL.
<1%
31°C
$5,293 KL.
<1%
32°C
$4,816 KL.
<1%
33°C
$4,718 KL.
<1%
34°C
$8,468 KL.
<1%
35°C
$12,987 KL.
<1%
36°C
$6,482 KL.
100%
37°C
$7,135 KL.
<1%
38°C or higher
$4,602 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts and observational data from agencies monitoring subtropical South China indicate daytime highs in Shenzhen are tracking toward a peak of 36°C on August 13, driven by persistent high humidity, weak steering winds, and afternoon convective heating typical of the region's midsummer monsoon influence. This aligns with climatological baselines where August averages near 32°C but frequently spikes several degrees higher under clear or partly cloudy skies with minimal rain cooling. Trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability for 36°C reflects aggregated real-capital assessment of model runs and early-day readings, though realistic challenges include stronger afternoon thunderstorms, unexpected cloud cover, or slight downward revisions in official station maxima that could favor 34–35°C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$57,737Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts and observational data from agencies monitoring subtropical South China indicate daytime highs in Shenzhen are tracking toward a peak of 36°C on August 13, driven by persistent high humidity, weak steering winds, and afternoon convective heating typical of the region's midsummer monsoon influence. This aligns with climatological baselines where August averages near 32°C but frequently spikes several degrees higher under clear or partly cloudy skies with minimal rain cooling. Trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability for 36°C reflects aggregated real-capital assessment of model runs and early-day readings, though realistic challenges include stronger afternoon thunderstorms, unexpected cloud cover, or slight downward revisions in official station maxima that could favor 34–35°C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$57,737Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts and observational data from agencies monitoring subtropical South China indicate daytime highs in Shenzhen are tracking toward a peak of 36°C on August 13, driven by persistent high humidity, weak steering winds, and afternoon convective heating typical of the region's midsummer monsoon influence. This aligns with climatological baselines where August averages near 32°C but frequently spikes several degrees higher under clear or partly cloudy skies with minimal rain cooling. Trader consensus at 99.6% implied probability for 36°C reflects aggregated real-capital assessment of model runs and early-day readings, though realistic challenges include stronger afternoon thunderstorms, unexpected cloud cover, or slight downward revisions in official station maxima that could favor 34–35°C outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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