Current forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Poland’s Institute of Meteorology and Water Management indicate a maximum temperature of 13°C for Warsaw on May 17, reflecting persistent northerly flow and widespread cloud cover that have limited daytime warming. Ensemble runs show tight clustering around this value with low spread, consistent with historical May climatology for the region. Afternoon surface observations or minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing could still nudge readings by a degree, yet the strong consensus across deterministic and probabilistic guidance leaves only narrow pathways for an outcome of 14°C or higher.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 17?
13°C 99.7%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
$52,013 KL.
$52,013 KL.
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.7%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
$52,013 KL.
$52,013 KL.
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWACurrent forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Poland’s Institute of Meteorology and Water Management indicate a maximum temperature of 13°C for Warsaw on May 17, reflecting persistent northerly flow and widespread cloud cover that have limited daytime warming. Ensemble runs show tight clustering around this value with low spread, consistent with historical May climatology for the region. Afternoon surface observations or minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing could still nudge readings by a degree, yet the strong consensus across deterministic and probabilistic guidance leaves only narrow pathways for an outcome of 14°C or higher.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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